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After hitting the QC with heavy downpours, the once robust cluster of storms has quickly transformed to (you guessed it) anvil rains on final approach. This is all bonus anyway as I didn't really think we'd get anything after the morning stuff departed.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38348610/ I’d look into Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD). Warming temperatures and the atmosphere’s ability to hold more water isn’t a linear relationship, it’s exponential. Think of it as a bigger sponge. The sponge can hold more water, so when it does get “wrung out,” it means more extreme flooding rains. On the other hand, as it can hold more water, it can also mean that it’s easier to form drought. The Midwest has been lucky in this regard due to favorable long wave patterns.

Go to bed tiny dancer…

That period is in range of the Euro ens guidance. The weeklies should be in agreement. Would be completely useless otherwise.

The global avg air and sea surface temps, dew points, and sea level are all at or near record highs. OTOH, I don’t know about “the droughts” being the worst. Actually, widespread droughts in the Midwest have notably lessened in frequency and severity over the last 30 years due to increased crop sizes likely thanks at least partially due to climate change. Avg dewpoints there in summer have increased significantly.

Ended up hitting 90 for the 3rd day in a row this week. First heatwave since right after the 4th of July weekend.

I mean, who needs the damn thunderstorm?

Beautiful night

Surprisingly nice outside tonight. 72 and actually feels kinda coolish here in the woods. Not muggy at all. Sat outside drinking a Margarita listening to sounds of nature until some random mosquito found me lol.

High of 98. At one point our dew point hit 83.7 which translates to a HI of 126. I was inside napping.

First times are tough. I played TPC Norton for the first time on Thursday. I had been there to watch events but until you play a course you don't really know. Shot a 90 which wasn't that bad considering I'm a 14 handicap. But I was hitting the ball better than usual.

I do, sir. This is because I've travelled extensively around the globe and seen widepread physical objective evidence of a rapidly warming climate. You can choose to believe that or not- but my eyes and ears and logic all agree that our climate is beginning to become dangerous for us and other species. You don't have to leave Chester county to know the world is not flat...

This is a banger of a storm. Torrential downpours with a bit of hail.

PA really does seem to do better with storms overall. I always kinda liked their climate (aside from probably more clouds). Less concerns about the sleet line in the winter and closer to shortwaves swinging through the Midwest. Their roads do suck, though.

Do they still have that blind shot where you're almost hitting off a cliff?

Did you ever see what Feb 1936 looked like in Montana? Summer 1935 Phoenix had more 100+ consecutive days vs every other year on record to that point. That specific datapoint really did well last year rolled forward, Valentine Nebraska hit -32F in late February last year.

Sky Meadow kicked my butt as a 1st timer there. Shot 86. Definitely think I would have cracked 80 with experience.

In contrast, 1935-6 was one of the coldest for the E 2/3 US as a whole of any since 1895-6:

86 today

Multiple storms today with another one knocking on the door.

I see that. Will this be the one that holds together and rakes us all, or does it fall apart?

hopefully we make it since the rest of the month looks very hot

Also was missing a few days highs which could have skewed the monthly

I hope this air pollution from Canada doesn't interrupt our heat next week.