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  2. Dry air winning the battle so I'm going to an event in Manhattan that I was tentative about due to the weather. Hopefully the heavier rains hold off until after 10PM tonight and I think they will. As for end of May/early June still tentative about pattern change at that point at this time. GFS warmth/heat cancel but I haven't seen Euro yet. EPS was on board for a change so the night and day changes by the GFS are to be expected and we'll see about the Euro. WX/PT
  3. showers/downpours
  4. How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad. .
  5. How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad. .
  6. I hate when we get back to back dreary chilly days with only about a quarter inch to show for it
  7. .10 this far..not impressed
  8. the next chance of rain is likely Tuesday, so right after the long weekend ends.
  9. it seems like the cooler and rainier periods in May are happening most often in the latter third of the month (May 20th and beyond) so this fits the pattern.
  10. thats good enough and hopefully with a lot of sun and no more of these cut offs? I wouldn't mind a 2 week period of zero rain.
  11. Yeah ... a donut stuffing machine of a CCB stackin snow totals to nut sacks while you're sunny at 7 F looking at a dense cirrus shield on your southern horizon sounds 'bout right
  12. They haven't. Despite the cool end we're still going to be near normal against the warmest averages
  13. Same process as thundersnow, rare but interesting.
  14. Effing brutal, I’m supposed to chaperone my kids class at Six Flags on Wednesday.
  15. Today
  16. .23 here in 21057. It is raw out.
  17. It's probably a low probability but just enough elevated instability present that someone may get a rumble.
  18. yeah gets marginally unstable aloft with some pretty steep lapse rates.
  19. Thanks Wiz you teach me something new everyday ☺️
  20. 70s and possibly 80s look realistic. Earlier runs with low and mid-90s on the GFS are likely overdone.
  21. Showers have been added to my Memorial Day forecast. GFS is the only guidance I see that could bring the next system in that early.
  22. Where was this pattern this past winter? GFS trying to organize another coastal low middle of next week. Nice low end warning event centered along the Pike, ha.
  23. Very few, if anyone at all like JB, in May. Supposed to be stuck in the mid to upper 50s here tomorrow. Hell, not even in the Northeast because they're expecting a late-season Nor'easter tomorrow. https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/1925166136024600730
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