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Can’t wait to see the pics from this group. It’s about to absolutely crank.

Long Island

lol, I thought it was going to be bad. I'd take that in a heartbeat

Gosh folks, the big story is how bitterly cold the WB 18Z EURO is for Sunday afternoon....remember the years when we would go weeks without going below freezing?!!!!

Moderate rain. Very few wet flakes/white rain mixing in.

Right around 2.5" inches of snow today from the clipper in my part of the Poconos. Great snow pack refresher! Sitting at around 12.0" for the season now.

Still some flakes falling, but it's basically over. 1.8" total. 32.4 5.1" season total so far.

Looks just fine to me.

Nice temp spike--suddenly up to 42.

This can't be a serious post. GFS has been all over the map, while the Euro and AIFS have been fairly consistent for a light to moderate snowfall for a few runs and the CMC came on board at 12Z and the UK almost did too (after showing nada for several runs). And the NAM/RGEM at 84 hours (yes, questionable) look very similar to the Euro at 84 hours with snow on our doorstep at 06Z Sunday. Certainly not a lock yet 3+ days out, but confidence is much greater than 24 hours ago.

@The 4 Seasons picked up 1.1" here today as this winds down giving me 4.5" for the season. 33/31 currently with just some light flurries lingering.

Are you ok?

A heavy sleet band just plowed through I mean just smoked us! Only problem was it only lasted for about a minute or so. It was cool while it lasted. Tried to coat the walkway and grass. The temp fell from 40 to 38 during the time. That was unexpected, at least by me!

Yes it is and AIFS is good too, while the volatile GFS remains all over the place. I like these more local maps, but keep in mind that this map still includes an inch or two N of 84 for many today, but it's just the Sunday event for anywhere near and SE of 95.

I’d call it something else consider us northern crew have had Lucy screw us over more then enough.

warmer but qpf nearly identical

So 18z euro is drier, warmer, about the same, or best yet?

Yeah most of SNE is prob advisory that run outside of far NW areas maybe….then you maybe get into low end warning in SE areas. Way too early to worry about amounts though. We can’t even get guidance to agree on if a system will even hit us.

With such a narrow "win" zone it is going to be tough to please everyone. I'll hug the 18z euro because it is the best run for NW zones so far. Not going to jack out this way, just trying to get in on the action and have if look like winter.

Yea its noise, IMO.

18z GFS....good run.

Let’s bring that bad boy south some. Lol love fantasy range snow. Let’s get a pool going for how many times Christmas Eve/day changes over the next couple weeks.

Well earlier today, we were told that this had to be 300 miles SW. 50-100 miles isn’t a huge lift at 90 plus hrs out imo. If one little aspect isn’t being modeled correctly now(disturbances just coming into range, or will be overnight), 50-100 miles is very manageable.

I’d sign for that. 38f here