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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
RitualOfTheTrout replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ah ok, yeah, I think I have browsed there before, it's been a few years. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
dendrite replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Looks like PYM shat the bed before 11z…power issue? Maybe the raw obs will be saved. I’ll try to remember to check in a week or so. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I think the system ends up further south. We'll end up dry and cold. Even in the areas that get hit by the system won't see too much accumulation due to the March sun angle. -
2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
DDweatherman replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s true, I don’t want my license revoked. I knew coming in this was a longshot even though it’s an easy way to win around here…we’d rather do complicated or non ideal setups -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
dendrite replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Yup…wind failed at TAN. Interesting. Still they had a stretch with frequent gusts over 40 before it crapped out. 1045-1252z…lame. I’d count it. -
And I was not being cocky, just trying to save your drivership if this one does not work out.
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2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
DDweatherman replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like Monday morning start if there’s a storm. Good let’s try a weekday so the kids get another long weekend… -
Let's keep it cold and snow thru the end of March, then right to 70s in April.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
anotherman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
People joke about sun angle but it makes a huge difference. December and January snow lasts the longest for a reason. -
2/26 - Follow-up Hopium Battlezone Storm
DDweatherman replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
To be fair, that one has some legs and I’d exchange one for the other…weekend rule ish? Late Sunday? -
Scott's right ... perhaps do what one can to enjoy winter's glory for the next 7 or 8 days because after that the season's plug might be pulled. It's still over 8 days out, but it's also not a new signal. The indices have steadily been improving with coherency. - by the way, there is a March thread so technically this belongs over there. However, there persists a modest winter event signaled between 2-5th. Not altogether impressed for any chances prior to that, assuming reasonable model/indicator performance. The flow will be fast, however ...so that may limit that ability for the synoptic scaffold to evolve into a coastal - if the flow relaxes a little ... similarly to this last one, could become a relative signal inside a longer termed unfavorable correlation. Nested anomaly ... so we'll see. But for now, the operational GFS/Euro overnight were illustrating the limitation by keeping it a "swfe"/overrunning ooa March 3/4... Melt and mud kicks in like a seasonal light switch in these extended signals nearly on the heels of that.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
13 for my low this morning. I'm just shy of 20 inches for the year. -
4” Greenfield, MA
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
dendrite replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
That’s rare now too because they have heated ultrasonics. I believe the old cup ones were heated as well. But there were some cases of bad readings yesterday where the snow and wind was so heavy it was probably trying to cake up on the transducers faster than it could melt. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sunny with below normal temperatures today with highs struggling to top freezing in most spots. Still with the increasing strength of the late February sun, we should see more melting of our snowpack. It looks like a little light snow will cross the area overnight tonight and toward rush hour. Snow amounts look minor, but the timing could make for a slippery commute in spots. We will warm it into the mid 40's tomorrow. A little more snow or rain is possible on Thursday before we clear up for the weekend. Saturday may see temperatures near 50 degrees. We chill back down to start the new work week, and snow chances again look to increase by Monday. -
The final precipitation for NYC was 1.88". The NBM came closest while many of the global models, especially the ECMWF and UKMET badly underforecast the precipitation. The QPF and snowfall amounts were trimmed further by 6z on February 22. Some of the social media "forecasters" chased the models into a dead-end and missed the much larger magnitude of snowfall. As noted previously, social media (and increasingly TV) isn't a good source of credible weather information. Anyone can play forecaster where meteorological knowledge is superficial, hype reigns and verification is non-existent. A potent clue that the "low-balled" idea was a bad one rest in the storm's forecast dynamics. Explosively deepening and super intense storms have very efficient and powerful dynamics that maximize snowfall. One saw such a case during February 11-12, 2006. The blizzard's dynamics outran the models and the forecasts. What had been expected to be about a foot of snow in NYC wound up being 26.9". Forecast amounts were increased several times when the blizzard was underway. The region experienced a top-tier blizzard. In terms of verification, I had several large errors (4" or more outside of the forecast range), as the snowfall was far more intense in Islip and Providence than I had forecast. That intense banding was likely somewhere on Long Island and Rhode Island/southeast Massachusetts was not the issue. Placement of the banding was the issue for me. Even with today's mesoscale guidance, the placement of banding often isn't possible until the storm is underway and the banding is developing/has developed. The NWS did a terrific job in its forecasting. Mount Holly's, Taunton's, and Upton's discussions and forecasts were outstanding in advance of the storm and throughout the storm. Finally, the blizzard lifted winter 2025-2026 into a Top 25 place for New York City where records go back to Winter 1869-1870. Additional snowfall would lock in a Top 25-Top 30 ranking.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sunny with below normal temperatures today with highs struggling to top freezing in most spots. Still with the increasing strength of the late February sun, we should see more melting of our snowpack. It looks like a little light snow will cross the area overnight tonight and toward rush hour. Snow amounts look minor, but the timing could make for a slippery commute in spots. We will warm it into the mid 40's tomorrow. A little more snow or rain is possible on Thursday before we clear up for the weekend. Saturday may see temperatures near 50 degrees. We chill back down to start the new work week, and snow chances again look to increase by Monday. -
Don't be so cocky!
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They were all young and grafted by myself. The plan was to plant many of them this spring in the field. They were untouched above the snow line. Bastards.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
Baroclinic Zone replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Want to say it was the anemometer -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
GuitarFreak replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
After the storm last night -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
dendrite replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
It was easier to meet criteria before ASOS because human observers had no problem reporting 0sm, 1/16sm, and 1/8sm. ASOS rarely reports M1/4sm and there’s the 5 min obs and SPECIs that catch brief lulls down to 1/2sm. Wind is difficult too, but allowing frequent gusts over 30kt helps. -
Kill em all. Now you know how I feel about all these varments. There is no compassion, no empathy…kill em all.
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Or convert it to follow the fairly significant threat 6 days out.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
ORH_wxman replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
