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More and more I wish I'd have stayed in Arizona.

Blows here…damp drizzly and raw-44 degrees. Doesn’t get much worse.

Oh wasn’t meaning they can’t do it, just that they won’t next week.

Yes, but 9 days out lol…that’ll probably cool some(but still be mild) as we close in.

Temp reached 40 today after 9 straight maxima in the 30s. Open ground is bare, forested land still white.

Yup. Then it was gone in a week.

The current three warmest Novembers are 1999 (+5.14F), 2016 (+4.98F), and 2001 (+4.42F). 2025 looks like it will be in the mix with these years. Rolling the 3 warmest Novembers forward through meteorological winter, here's what that analog map looks like. 1999-2000 is 3rd warmest of all time, 2016-2017 is 9th warmest, and 2001-2002 is 10th warmest.

We have 10 feet of gutter. It's on the front porch, which is open to the air, and over the front steps. It limits the drip/freeze on the steps, but thaws/freezes do fill it with ice. October here was 1.8° AN and November is currently running 2.0° BN. The November departure will likely be less but will almost certainly stay BN. In 27 snow seasons, 6 have had AN Octobers and BN Novembers. All 6 had AN snow, ranging 90.4" to 142.3", and the average of 108.5" is exactly 20.0" above the current average.

This should help some who are whining over Christmas. Christmas of 1965, I recorded a high of 65 degrees. January of 1966, I received 36 inches of snow..............................

That thing might be a screamer for the ages. Like the ones we had in 95/96

That would be the time to do it, not this week.

Par for the course around here lol

Wow didn’t know it was that long of a stretch.

Did the same here at WXW1. Grueling stuff but it feels good when it's done. This GFS run also tries to bring tropical out of the Gulf at the same time Not sure how good a pattern that is for snow up at WXW2, but I feel pretty confident that we'll be getting below zero quite a bit if that Canada cold press comes through. Last December the village got below zero four times. KSLK got there six times.

Yeah def -PNA early on. There are some similarities to ‘07. Not exact match.

An '07 redux? Are you thinking a -PNA for the first half of the month?

.23 up here, anyone who better the over is cashing in, thought most of it was going to be to my south but what do those models know anyway?

This will be the 5th consecutive below normal precip Autumn, and the 10th out of 12. You have to go back to the 1950s/60s and 1910s/20s to find similar stretches. Rolling it forward, both of those periods were relatively snowy, but the current one is, um, not.

70 is very possible

You better hope Anthony doesn’t read that, facts as there are.

This is all very helpful. We're closing in a couple days and we've been wondering whether we should get gutters or not. I don't want to spend thousands on something that's going to get ripped down in two years. Sounds like more insulation may be the better investment for now at least.

nice break in the clouds over MoCo, full sun here in Gaithersburg (near Laytonsville)!

0.26" north Smithtown