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Since the WAA is continuous through the day and not in place for the start, the absolute max potential for temp is not realized, much to CoastalWx's dismay. BTW, we don't live at 850.

Unfortunately there’s no avoiding that . 10” or less of snow?

How many people in Waterbury VT are ordering wood chippers for this winter?

Another very heavy shower with lots of lightning and thunder is moving across from East to West. It doesn't seem common to get meandering upper level lows in summer but it's definitely a drought killer.

We're fortunate those 850s temps peak at night otherwise we would've seen another round of 105+ temps. All time state records would've been on the table.

Feels like we do that anyway these days, Nino or not.

Everyone enjoying a outdoor bbq on New Year’s Eve on lawn chairs by the pool.

Temperatures will peak in the lower to middle 80s tomorrow before heat begins to push in from the Plains States. A brief push of heat from an impressive heat dome over the Central and Northern Plains that sent the mercury to all-time records of 109° at Salt Lake City and 110° at Billings, MT could send temperatures into the 90s during Tuesday through Thursday. The potential exists for Newark to approach 100° at the height of the short period of heat. Friday will also be very warm before the temperatures ease for the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -38.53 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.360 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.7° (1.2° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I recall the Mayan calendar hype..well here we are in 2026 lol..

And the hottest winter ever. Let’s keep the heat for the next 12 months.

I want 27C at 850 at 18z tomorrow plz.

Just wait till that sets up for Xmas week.. Ray's place in methuen

My favorite was one of the shows when they combined Nostradamus w/ the Mayan calendar 2012. Stupid! Speaking of Nostradamus, this shows that media fear-mongering is nothing new. This scared me as a kid! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Man_Who_Saw_Tomorrow

102° in Thunder Bay today. Love it.

Temps peaked at 94/69/99. Shoreline temps running 85-90. Co-op had 83 yesterday. Offshore bouy for TH has an air temp of 56, so pretty chilly out there on the big pond. Point has 100 for tomorrow due to the winds switching to the W creating a little down slope enhancement. In house temp started at 79 and now to 83. Started at 75 yesterday, and ended with 82. Will open windows again tonight. Actually not horrible with the fans. I'm doing good.

Greenfield actually got about .10” between the morning shower and the heavier afternoon shower. Very fortunate, good for the gardens and trees.

I believe that years ago, I read that a Carrington event would lead to the death of over half the populations of major cities within 6 weeks.

Man what a special summer . The superest Nino ever and we will all live thru likely top 3 hottest summer ever

If my memory is serving me well the missing episode is the Nostradamus episode....about his various predictions for how the world ends There was a show titled Doomsday Preppers but while that had some end of the world scenarios it primarily was about how people were preparing for catastrophic events. Another interesting show is "While the Rest of US Die"

It's impressive they could beat the Dust Bowl temperatures in Montana edit: Billings has no data from July 1934 when they could have been the hottest

Is Mr. Bastardi accurate in saying this is the coldest CFSv2 JFM for the U.S. ever forecasted on its site (back to 2012)? Opinions about this map? Keep in mind that this is a mean of a whopping 10 days of runs of its ensemble as opposed to just one run: Precip anoms from same run:

The issue with Carrington+ solar super storms is that the grid was not engineered with those in mind. There are no safe-guards, there are no redundancies after the fact. "In the cards" isn't really the issue - unless we mean at some unknown point in the future. But there's nothing imminent. As far as when? dice roll. Beryllium-10 and chlorine-36 are manufactured when the atmosphere is bombarded by cosmic rays associated with super storms and left as residue in the wake. They have been sampled in deep ice coring ... occurring in irregular intervals between 400 to 2400 years apart - the grid as we know it is utterly defenseless against these class of event. Infrastructural engineering over generations did not have solar physics in mind. Carrington+ event with the current physicality of the grid would result in a pan-systemic failure that would not be recoverable without physically replacing substation and connective utility infrastructure at a global scale. This is not hyperbole. This not fabrication of social media and/or media selling drama and fear for profit. This is fact. This verifiable. This is not something one can just not believe in because we live in an age where people think if they don't like hearing something they can choose not to believe it, and that makes it untrue. It's true whether one believes it or not.

looks like the high will be 96.4 for Fort Collins

3.24 in the last 24 hours

Yes, going by ACE, if you use the current 123 seasonal ACE normal value. All New England landfalling hurricanes since 1938 have been below avg ACE years, except 1969.