All Activity

Euro holding steady.

.

6z Euro looks good for a lot but looks like it cut qpf back in eastern areas. Not sure why.

thanks found it

GFS continues to advertise at least something. Clipper, miller B? Idk I’m stupid as shit. Around the 7th-9th period

6z Euro not looking good. Slashed QPF in half many locations .

DXR is at -7 right now, IJD -9..wow.

Its under the Mesoscale models

.

I wonder how cold this winter has been versus others. It obviously feels cold, but I wonder how relative it is. .

I believe the word is sustained wow

ENSO has finally gone up to cold-neutral. Looks like one final burst of easterlies in region 3.4 before it’s totally dead for good. The SOI has finally come up from the severely positive values we saw, but -AAM continuing, the -PDO is still there but obviously well weakened from the ridiculous negative values we’ve seen over the last 5 years. Read your blog and I agree, next month looks -PNA/RNA, +EPO, +WPO. The only thing saving this from going to an early spring is the projected -AO/-NAO and the *possible* SSWE. Whether or not this ends up just a big SPV stretch/wave reflection or it decides to pull a February, 2018 and do a major SSW with a total wind reversal and complete SPV split and coupling with the troposphere; “locking” the -AO/-NAO remains to be seen

Ill take it all day long

0z WN2 .

And Upstate, SC...never freaking fails

Its going to be so ice age frigid in Texas into Feb 23 that I need an entire new wardrobe. Maybe the AMOC stopped altogether. I have officially given up all hope of Spring in the Deep South in 2026. It's been repealed.

you want to know if its all or nothing? I never said zero snow, the threat for a plowable real storm is virtually gone. Maybe eastern CT gets clipped with some light snow. But the plug has been pulled on a snowstorm for CT. No advisory level or higher snowfall for CT, anywhere, thats what id say right now. A flurry or some light snshrs perhaps.

Down to 6.

I honestly thought i was gonna wake up and the storm go poof.

I’ll be so happy with any accumulation.. but if we can just somehow extend the red zone a bit further south and west…

10.6 warmest night of the week so far but the breeze f'ing sucks walking the dog

A sliver of hope perhaps. I was looking at the 3k NAM thinking it has a better handle with all of the convection with this and I will say it can’t resolve where to place the SLP. Each frame it’s jumping like 50-100 miles. Maybe wait until it can resolve the multiple lows.

Cmon buddy throw some moisture back to the foothills .

Would've been awesome to have scored 1-2'. Imagine the pack. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk