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Pouring in Union County NJ. This event is sure localized but I’ll take it.

"blizzard watch" is all I needed to see lol

i can't remember the last time it rained for so long. it's wonderful. all the local wx stations are reporting an inch of rain, more or less.

.53" last 24 hrs................ So good to see rain at last! The most from one event since July 31.

Followup: JB was surprisingly quiet. All he said was this: “Now, the red-hatched area has been designated Tropical Depression 7, posing a threat to Bermuda but not the U.S.” But then he immediately mentioned a possible unexpected “side-show Bob” to form off the SE US.

Daily mail loves click bait. That is a whopper tale they are spinning for those clicks.

I love the “battle-zone” that so many forecasters love to put much of the SE US in every winter lol.

Absolutely right with the Bermuda comment. Stay well, as always.

TPC would never pull that plug that quickly.

Totally agree. Hostile environment. So if the 5pm Scatterometer analysis does not find Tropical-Storm force winds, will it attain or tie a record for the shortest-lived named storm?

Showers here in Brooklyn

Continuously boring in the weather dept going on three years now I could cry

Black flies and shallow graves baby.

i'm in elizabeth and it's pouring

We might get into these showers this afternoon but can't see more than a few hundredths

Thanks. Indeed, the chances of exceeding 100 total continue to decline. For reference, the 1991-2020 average from now to the end is 51: -22 rest of Sept -22 during Oct -6 during Nov -1 during Dec So, to reach 100, 2025 would need to be ~10 above the 1991-2020 avg, a tall but not near impossible order. But it being a weak La Nina and recent seasons being pretty heavily backloaded help those chances to an extent. What Gabrielle does or doesn’t do will be a pretty significant part of the mix.

does not specifically say "east coast USA". East coast Bermuda?

Not a cloud in the sky and its noon on Sept 17, can't say I've had that since Aug but for this time of year its very rare. Highs reaching 27C. Second amazing Sept in a row.

I experienced three drops of rain. It may have been owl piss. I can't confirm. I can; however, confirm it is drier than an old lady's snatch after an episode of "Touched By An Angel," and I fear there is little relief in sight.

I think the background states going into winter are starting to get set…..solar max (but descending slowly), high geomag, La Niña, -PDO, -IOD, -PMM, -QBO, below normal Atlantic ACE (looking likely), +AMO (*possibly* the very beginning of a -AMO flip with the cold pool in the North Atlantic?), non-volcanic stratosphere

Interesting article about housing construction since Hurricane Harvey. Apparently that biblical flooding event changed nothing. https://www.houstonchronicle.com/projects/2025/houston-metro-floodplain-construction/?noapp=true&utm_content=img&sid=6899cebb64b7fc37ca04ba24&ss=P&st_rid=null&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_term=Business&utm_campaign=hcrn | editorial features