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  2. Met1985
    Second cell blasting to the SW. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  3. weatherwiz
    HRRR has been all over the place so can probably toss that. Interesting how the 3km NAM at 12z was very similar evolution to the HRRR yesterday. There is good convergence along the shoreline so I would not be surprised if things took off a bit as the front nears
  4. mappy
    Thanks!
  5. WxUSAF
    Few small cells ahead of the main batch but yeah, that outflow seems it is lighting things up.
  6. konksw
    The rain almost always moves through faster than depicted.
  7. Brian5671
    Going to be really close based on some of the modelling, HRRR does run up I-95 with it
  8. stormy
    The WPC with the afternoon 7 day bought the paltry GFS 1.23" and tossed the 2.47" ECM and AI. Hopefully, they are wrong.
  9. Met1985
    Getting some light rain now.
  10. Cfa
    95 here, highest of the year so far.
  11. mahantango#1
    Warm in Hazelton?
  12. weatherwiz
    was unsure if they would go with the watch or not. I could certainly see so a bit southwest but might be a stretch for southern CT...although no choice but to throw entire counties under the watch.
  13. psv88
    Looks like Islip topped out at 93 and FRG at 92. Decent
  14. Met1985
    Another storm blowing up in SW Buncombe now.
  15. weatherwiz
    you might be in a good spot in Fairfield. Looks like greatest potential is right along the shoreline. Most of the action though may end up crossing the Sound
  16. psv88
    94 will do it. Clouds moving in
  17. SnowenOutThere
    Two more severe warnings just went up out near the VA/WV border
  18. Chrisrotary12
    Kiss of death?
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Outflow boundary hit the cells near Charles Town. Things really popping off quickly in the pan handle.
  20. SnowenOutThere
    It just doesn’t even initiate with them. Can’t kill what you’re not modeling.
  21. SnowenOutThere
    Anywho, low level lapse rates are past 9 degrees C/km so we’re approaching unconditionally unstable with 2000+ Cape and 1300 DCape. I’d imagine things pop off quickly near DC once outflow boundaries reach us
  22. SnowenOutThere
    They have 40 day forecasts in the future you know!
  23. Brian5671
    Let's go! Destruction time!
  24. Superstorm
    Showers and storms erupting west of river. .
  25. stormy
    With the 1:54 7 day Update, the WPC is buying into the 7 day prog. from the GFS and tossing the ECMWF and AI.
  26. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the Greencastle storm died, threw an outflow boundary south into Maryland, and it's about to crest the Catoctin Mts. Wonder if that's what kicks off the activity in the lee of the mountains and northwest suburbs this afternoon?
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