All Activity

DCA: +2.4 NYC: +1.7 BOS: +1.2 ORD: +2.1 ATL: +2.9 IAH: +2.8 DEN: +1.8 PHX: +2.3 SEA: +0.5

Forecast Discussion Tuesday, March 17, 2026 1:53PM EDT Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 8PM EDT Tuesday, March 17, 2026 SPC Outlook Tornado: 5%, Wind: 90% CIGI 1, Hail: 5% Unseasonably warm and humid conditions remain in place throughout the region early this afternoon with upper 70s to mid 80s surface temps and low to mid 60s dewpoints. This is allowing for MLCAPE of 500-800+ J/kg. Strong ridge of high pressure remains entrenched over the southeastern US with a stationary front draped just to our north. Between the high to the south and lower heights to the north there is a belt of strong 50-60+ kt deep-layer flow (400-700mb). A well-developed severe MCS/derecho w/ an associated cold pool/ rear-inflow jet is currently located over eastern WV and will move across the entire region over the next several hours. Steepening low-level lapse rates and sufficient CAPE should allow this MCS to survive the trek over the mountains and cruise through the area. Widespread severe winds are, by far, the main threat with these storms, though a few QLCS tornadoes are certainly a threat given some fairly decent low-level shear (effective SRH in excess of 250 m2/s2). The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has placed the entire area under a 90% wind risk w/ a level one CIGI which correlates to a moderate (4/5) risk. Moderate risk days from the SPC are rare as we’ve only had two such days previously in the last 13 years. Widespread wind gusts of 60-80 mph w/ a few locally higher gusts are expected as the line moves through at around 55-60kts. Skies will clear through the evening with temps holding in the 60s throughout the night before another round of potential severe storms tomorrow with the cold front pushing through from northwest to southeast as a more potent shortwave moves just to our north. Temps and dewpoints will be similar to today ahead of the front.

A warmer week sans the first few days awaits. Welcome to Meteorological Spring peeps!

A south shore winter as well. North shore didn’t do as well. Center island by me held our own.

Jesus https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1AhqBCHq1r/

Cue Eye of the Tiger!

NICE…Still have good coverage there… Are those makeshift heat deflectors that I see there⁉️

Enjoying our snowpack remnants tonight!

I know, tell me about it.

And these people vote…

South flow just keep that in mind ocean is like 38

He guaranteed a bad winter.

Pssst. “Spring ahead” also means the sun angle “springs ahead” 360 degrees higher in the sky. Whatever snow we have now, boy we better appreciate it because the day we add an extra hour of 360 degree angle higher sunlight, not only does the snow go poof but all life forms spontaneously combust when they expose any skin to the outdoors. Be warrrnnneed!

Beer

And this guy calls himself a meteorologist.

Soo the switching the clocks ahead keeps the sun up and extra hour? Between which hour would that be?

Nonsense. If that's the case, why is the sun up longer immediately after daylight savings begins? Let me guess, coincidence?

Yeah, one day cocorahs totals for one and that's not the half of it

So I guess we done? When @stormtrackeris relying on the SREFS to bring a 1-2”er, put a big ass fork into winter. I’ll be water-skiing by next Saturday.

I truly hope its a joke lol

Monthly Departures: EWR: -3.6 NYC: -4.4 LGA: -4.8 JFK: -4.9

Thanks, figured. Only reason I included it is because it's not that far off from the surrounding 18-19" reports. I'll be doing a third update tomorrow If you have any more you think are sus or missing lmk

Blue Hill had 17 on the ground day before 24 total day of 28 otg next day. Its science

Today's split EWR: 55 / 30 (+5) NYC: 54 / 33 (+5)