dendrite Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 There is a 90 knot inflow feeding this storm wrapping in Gulf Stream moisture, expect QPF to be prolific and increase in coming days. I generally agree. The past couple of runs were almost a perfect scenario for C NH so that's why I stated "buzzkill". Of course my pain is usually your gain and vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I'm still concerned of a track near the Cape. Yeah same here. Obviously for me...I like seeing these offshore tracks because it at least implies some snow regardless of what happens with respect to mixing issues. But id still think west is the way to lean right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I'm still concerned of a track near the Cape. This is where the storms have been tracking all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 If it's going to rain down here on a storm that goes SE of the benchmark..then I doubt BOS would stay all snow on a track near the cape. I"m telling you, we've stayed snow on tracks OVER the cape on the 2 HECS's we've had this year. So it's not impossible. And Wareham is probably all snow this run fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Does the Euro have anything for Portland, ME at all? I would hope this comes north, like every other storm has.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro keeps drilling the cold into the long range like the rest of the guidance. Warm winter progs FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yeah same here. Obviously for me...I like seeing these offshore tracks because it at least implies some snow regardless of what happens with respect to mixing issues. But id still think west is the way to lean right now. you thinking west toward cape.... or track all the way thru ORH still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I think the ideal track for most is right over ACK and then into the GOM. Not ackwaves obviously but for most others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro keeps drilling the cold into the long range like the rest of the guidance. Warm winter progs FTL. Trough axis over the lakes ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro keeps drilling the cold into the long range like the rest of the guidance. Warm winter progs FTL. Hey Jerry, How much snow you have so far this winter? Has to be one of your best to date, no? Scott, You too? How much you have to date? 38.5" to date is up there for me probably in top 5 or 10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Trough axis over the lakes ftw. Have you noticed that LES at Buffalo has been cut off from Erie which is no just about fully frozen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yeah same here. Obviously for me...I like seeing these offshore tracks because it at least implies some snow regardless of what happens with respect to mixing issues. But id still think west is the way to lean right now. Im not so sure-- blocking is one thing that has been consistent this winter. And it looks like the models are sensing the presence of the next Arctic high behind this one, which is why the storm is being sent off the coast. That's been a common track this winter. Each model run has shown a bigger and bigger block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Hey Jerry, How much snow you have so far this winter? Has to be one of your best to date, no? Scott, You too? How much you have to date? 38.5" to date is up there for me probably in top 5 or 10... Close to 50-55 probably imby. 49.6 at BOS. It has been epic....deep snow everywhere and has been that way most of the time since 12/26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I think the ideal track for most is right over ACK and then into the GOM. Not ackwaves obviously but for most others. I would agree based on how the winter has unfolded thus far, but this storm looks a bit warmer in how its extending the 850's well NW of it's center, as opposed to the last 3 systems. I think a BM track would be best for your area. We'll see though..many changes ahead in the next 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Feb 2010 reduce here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I would agree based on how the winter has unfolded thus far, but this storm looks a bit warmer in how its extending the 850's well NW of it's center, as opposed to the last 3 systems. I think a BM track would be best for your area. We'll see though..many changes ahead in the next 72 hours. Yes. That's signaled on GFS as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Feb 2010 reduce here Is that pronounced "ree DOOCH ay"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Feb 2010 reduce here Wasted post, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Actually it runs from about Ray to KGON. Ray to GON does not equal a major SNE storm. Congrats to those in that region, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 The 12z JMA looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Ray to GON does not equal a major SNE storm. Congrats to those in that region, though! Pocket of 3+ qpf at your house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 You're the only one on the bb (along with Mike) who gets crushed from OTS, coast hugger, just inland from the coast......I think I'm moving... There's plenty of room out here, Jerry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Pocket of 3+ qpf at your house. Maybe at 00z. Not 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 man with the latest trend on the ECM, you guys are just sitting absolutely golden again i betcha some of you out there are grinning like cats looking at the ECM/GFS what a year for you guys, what a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Ray to GON does not equal a major SNE storm. Congrats to those in that region, though! You do not believe me either? Look at that inflow, holy large circulation, holy QPF uptick f this maintains,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Maybe at 00z. Not 12z. It was not a serious post..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No sidewalks to shovel either. I did have to shovel the path from the drive to the door though. And a path to the woodpile. And a path to the generator. Then, I had to dig the completely covered generator. Before that though, put on the snowshoes for a nice wlak through the fields, woods, and across the beaver pond. 18.4/7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 man with the latest trend on the ECM, you guys are just sitting absolutely golden again i betcha some of you out there are grinning like cats looking at the ECM/GFS what a year for you guys, what a year All out party mode, naked.as a Maine Jaybird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 It was not a serious post..... I was hoping you were kidding around, but 00z was close to that so I left the possibility open that you viewed the wrong run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 You do not believe me either? Look at that inflow, holy large circulation, holy QPF uptick f this maintains,. He has the worst qpf fetish I've ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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