dendrite Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 That still looks good with that HP drain. What does 120 look like? TYIA. Yeah it's not bad...I just meant it's more amped than 00z.120hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yeah it's not bad...I just meant it's more amped than 00z. 120hr. That's quite the blizzard for the 6 state area we call New England! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I'm now a Ukie fan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 looks like a 1-3 deal on tuesday with overrunning on most models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I'm now a Ukie fan i think your RN on hr 108..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 i think your RN on hr 108..... On the Cape yes, I live between KBOS and KPYM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Well we shall see what the doctor has to say...its running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On the Cape yes, I live between KBOS and KPYM Max, are you back in Pembroke?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Hey Max...I hope you can come to the GTG next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS ensembles have a lot of spread. There are some really amped up solutions in there that would change us to rain. That is definitely a concern with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Well we shall see what the doctor has to say...its running. Dr Dr...gimmie the news http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekoH1Et2Vls&feature=related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 OT but weenies on the outer banks and even further west are getting spanked silly this afternoon. radar is rather impressive down there. Crazy isn't it? Odd that in this particular pattern it's easier to make it snow in Hatteras next to the Gulf Stream than at Phil's house or mine MDT SN at HSE. -- I'm trying to figure out a way of keeping an archive here of each model run. I think what I'm going to do is create full sized animations, and just add the new full runs each 12 hours. That way we will have a 4-7 day progression of solutions for a particular event. What makes it a little hard is that timing changes always occur, so focusing say on 12z Thursday won't work because the models may move the solution up and we'll be comparing sunny skies to a GC blizzard. With no limitation on upload space beyond individual file size, I think we should take advantage of the space and keep the archive here. Hopefully others will keep/download them so that in the event - hope it never happens- of an euswx type implosion we don't lose so much good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS ensembles have a lot of spread. There are some really amped up solutions in there that would change us to rain. That is definitely a concern with this system. Majority NW of the OP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Majority NW of the OP? Yes. The concern with this system is going to be more precip type and temps rather than it going out to sea IMHO. We are seeing some pretty amped up solutions that would change us over to rain...even those of us in the elevated interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Max, are you back in Pembroke?? As of monday I will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yes. The concern with this system is going to be more precip type and temps rather than it going out to sea IMHO. We are seeing some pretty amped up solutions that would change us over to rain...even those of us in the elevated interior. Would the GGEM and Ukie change us over to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Would the GGEM and Ukie change us over to rain? GGEM does...Ukie is probably ok, at least for the interior. Not sure about the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Would the GGEM and Ukie change us over to rain? GGEM most assuredly. UKMET no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yes. The concern with this system is going to be more precip type and temps rather than it going out to sea IMHO. We are seeing some pretty amped up solutions that would change us over to rain...even those of us in the elevated interior. Just a function of what gets wrapped in by such an intense sysytem not so much track? Not acceptable. I'll say this one hits the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GGEM most assuredly. UKMET no. i wonder how realistic that HP placment just NW of new england is on the ukie. seems like other models have this several hundred miles W or NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Just a function of what gets wrapped in by such an intense sysytem not so much track? Not acceptable. I'll say this one hits the sweet spot. Well the track is a concern...but its the track too far W rather than worrying about a whiff out to sea. Some of these are tracking the sfc low over your head which sucks for of all of us....and some may track it a bit further east but really wrap in a lot of mid-level warmth. I still would feel pretty good, especially in the interior, but there is plenty of reason to be concerned as well. In storms like 1/12 and 12/26, ptype was never a concern unless you were in far SE MA or S RI. Its different this time around I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Dr is out to 60h...still early but it looks to me that it will come in less amplified than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Well the track is a concern...but its the track too far W rather than worrying about a whiff out to sea. Some of these are tracking the sfc low over your head which sucks for of all of us....and some may track it a bit further east but really wrap in a lot of mid-level warmth. I still would feel pretty good, especially in the interior, but there is plenty of reason to be concerned as well. In storms like 1/12 and 12/26, ptype was never a concern unless you were in far SE MA or S RI. Its different this time around I think. Climo asserting itself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Well the track is a concern...but its the track too far W rather than worrying about a whiff out to sea. Some of these are tracking the sfc low over your head which sucks for of all of us....and some may track it a bit further east but really wrap in a lot of mid-level warmth. I still would feel pretty good, especially in the interior, but there is plenty of reason to be concerned as well. In storms like 1/12 and 12/26, ptype was never a concern unless you were in far SE MA or S RI. Its different this time around I think. I think this will ride a rail right off CC. I'm going to look for the EURO to be the winner with this storm. Is it me or has it been the model that has shown this event most consistently and for the longest time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 i wonder how realistic that HP placment just NW of new england is on the ukie. seems like other models have this several hundred miles W or NW. I agree. We don't call him crazy uncle for nothing. But once in awhile it hits one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Messenger must be working on the next great American novel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 The 12z run isn't phasing that vortmax over Michigan like 00z was...at least as of hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I like the incomplete EC map on e-wall at 72 lol Beautiful day out there....17.4/6 at 1:00p.m. Comfy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 The 12z run isn't phasing that vortmax over Michigan like 00z was...at least as of hr 72. Yeah this is definitely not going to be as amped as 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro definitely less amped. Comparing 78 to last night's 90 shows more confluence and still a positive tilted trof vs already neutral last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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