usedtobe Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 What in your mind will you be looking for then for a hit as far as what the models show? Thanks If we get an inch of snow, that will be a hit. I'd like the models to show the low staying close enough to the coast to give us snow (,25" liquid would be plenty) but w'ere still so far out there in time, I'm not really going to worry too much about amounts. I'd like to see enough amplitued to the 500h pattern to get the precip to us so I'll probably be looking at that closer than the actual low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 If we get an inch of snow, that will be a hit. I'd like the models to show the low staying close enough to the coast to give us snow (,25" liquid would be plenty) but w'ere still so far out there in time, I'm not really going to worry too much about amounts. I'd like to see enough amplitued to the 500h pattern to get the precip to us so I'll probably be looking at that closer than the actual low track. Id prefer to see an ohio valley track and then a redevelopment because that will give us at least a guarantee of some winter weather which at this point i would take then the complete wiff and OTS that we will probably end up with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I'll take precip of any kind, just to see if it can actually happen. According to local reports, we've had 0.5 inches of precip since Dec. 1. and almost none since the little snow on Dec. 16. Dec. 16 is now 20 days in the past. 40 days into the future, we're looking at the end of "real" winter. It will be gone in a snap. I'd like some weather before it ends. I could live in the desert and get better than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I'll take precip of any kind, just to see if it can actually happen. According to local reports, we've had 0.5 inches of precip since Dec. 1. and almost none since the little snow on Dec. 16. Dec. 16 is now 20 days in the past. 40 days into the future, we're looking at the end of "real" winter. It will be gone in a snap. I'd like some weather before it ends. I could live in the desert and get better than this. At this point, 1-2 inches would be a huge win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS looks flat. We will see...we need the ULL low to get out of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Up to hr 108 and looks very suppressed thanks to our upper low in Ne which has screwed us for the last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 snows into central va this run low well off the sc coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS looks flat. We will see...we need the ULL low to get out of the way what?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 snows into central va this run low well off the sc coast That's with that first POS though, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 sig. snow event nc snow just gets to dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 hr 144 still in nc, nothing in va yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Apparently we will be taking our screwing suppression style on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 better to be south of DC then east of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 That's with that first POS though, right? HR 150-162 low goes way out to see looks like mostly an upper low precip deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 HR 150-162 low goes way out to see looks like mostly an upper low precip deal? Ok. Guess its better to be on the northern fringe than on the eastern edge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 not bad. Better than i thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 LMAO...3 GFS runs today each with a COMPLETELY different solution to this storm. This solution is funky. Holds that first storm off the GA/SC coast for most of a day waiting on the Plains s/w to join up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 good spot to be right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 pattern looks like its too progressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 definitely still rather have this than on top of us right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Leesburg is fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 congrats on your 2-3 inches that you will earn after 10 days of stormtracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 LMAO...3 GFS runs today each with a COMPLETELY different solution to this storm. This solution is funky. Holds that first storm off the GA/SC coast for most of a day waiting on the Plains s/w to join up. A lot of the runs for the last couple days have been doing that same delaying tactic regarding the first piece of energy...just sitting it there in the SE and hanging around waiting for the plains piece. I don't pretend to know why though :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Leesburg is fringed Just Leesburg's house or yours as well?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 congrats on your 2-3 inches that you will earn after 10 days of stormtracking! remember when 2-3 was locked in for dec 26 at worst 24 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 yea been a signal for a several runs now if this can all combine would be a nice mecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 definitely still rather have this than on top of us right now I agree, at such long time ranges, I'd prefer it not to look perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Look at the heights over Alaska at 168. What would that potentially translate to for the eastern us? It looks like it would be a sliding board for cold air, but then again, I don't know enough to speculate. Anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It either will or it won't. Not much more to it than that. I'm trying to maintain sanity. But, have you ever seen 4 consecutive runs of the GFS look as different. Just compare the 500 maps at about 120 hours from now. So, how do we have any confidence in anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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