Paleocene Posted Friday at 10:45 AM Share Posted Friday at 10:45 AM Sunday looking like diddly squat in terms of moisture. Potentially more tonight/tomorrow am? But looks hit and miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 11:12 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:12 AM 26 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Sunday looking like diddly squat in terms of moisture. Potentially more tonight/tomorrow am? But looks hit and miss. Push that front south... I want to play some baseball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 12:38 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:38 PM GFS got very wet tonight and early tomorrow morning again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted Friday at 12:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:44 PM 6 minutes ago, Ji said: GFS got very wet tonight and early tomorrow morning again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 02:23 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:23 PM WB 12Z EURO for weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Friday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:44 PM AI euro has been pretty much just noise shifts since about 120 hours out for Sunday. It did great with the nor’easter too. I’ll ride with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:12 PM Don't know if anyone noticed, but many of the MR models are showing a big hit of BN over the Conus east of the Mississippi at the end of their runs for the past few days. 18z EuroAi and Gfs are pretty impressive with 12z support on the Gefs and Geps. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=360 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026100218&fh=384 Edit: Euro weeklies are on board too as the first 3 weeks (surprisingly) are BN in much of the east. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 07:12 AM Share Posted Saturday at 07:12 AM 14 hours ago, LP08 said: AI euro has been pretty much just noise shifts since about 120 hours out for Sunday. It did great with the nor’easter too. I’ll ride with that. I think the NAM did the best with the track of the nor’easter. I believe it was the first to hook it back to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 07:20 AM Share Posted Saturday at 07:20 AM 7 minutes ago, Interstate said: I think the NAM did the best with the track of the nor’easter. I believe it was the first to hook it back to the coast. Speaking of the Nam, I just saw in the NE forum the NWS has extended its life until 11/3. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Saturday at 09:37 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:37 AM 2 hours ago, mitchnick said: Speaking of the Nam, I just saw in the NE forum the NWS has extended its life until 11/3. It’ll probably survive the winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Saturday at 03:07 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:07 PM 7 hours ago, mitchnick said: Speaking of the Nam, I just saw in the NE forum the NWS has extended its life until 11/3. Last hour stay of execution from the govenor. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted Saturday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:18 PM Maybe they tried to execute the NAM in Tennessee. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Saturday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:03 PM I'm fine with no big cold in before Thanksgiving. Save it for winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Sunday at 07:21 AM Share Posted Sunday at 07:21 AM 80 on Friday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:11 PM More warmth as we near next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:53 PM 41 minutes ago, frd said: More warmth as we near next weekend. But a beautiful +NAO. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted yesterday at 09:15 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:15 AM Coastal again possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 4 hours ago, frd said: Coastal again possibly Congrats to the usual areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Way out there but euro ai has had a number of runs recently that spin up a big storm in the D11-13 range and brings in cold air behind it. Probably would be first freeze chance for IAD and NW burbs if something like that happens. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 06z euro brings significant rain to the region (more to come) starting sunday afternoon into Monday -- from that tropical disturbance in the gulf. Euro AI is similar. GFS and CMC are less organized. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Way out there but euro ai has had a number of runs recently that spin up a big storm in the D11-13 range and brings in cold air behind it. Probably would be first freeze chance for IAD and NW burbs if something like that happens. The Euro AI and AI ENS, for better or worse, seem to be deadly in the D5-D8 range lately. I would mark this D11-D13 potential pattern reshuffle as an initial benchmark for whether patterns get can kicked or come in as advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: The Euro AI and AI ENS, for better or worse, seem to be deadly in the D5-D8 range lately. I would mark this D11-D13 potential pattern reshuffle as an initial benchmark for whether patterns get can kicked or come in as advertised. Not surprising at this range, but the ensembles are much less enthusiastic with the depth of that trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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