October 2026

[Intensewind002]

Saw some sun dog or halo like features around the sun during the drive home today

[Intensewind002]

Here's another pic

[donsutherland1]

Record warmth affected parts of the upper Midwest today. Some of that air will move across the region over the next few days.

As a result, it will turn noticeably milder tomorrow. The temperature will warm into the middle and upper 60s for the remainder of the work week. Much of the region could approach or reach 70° on Friday. Unseasonable warmth will continue into the start of November. Dry conditions will likely persist through next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C. ENSO Region 3.4 breaks the all-time record most recently set in the prior week. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was +10.31 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.219 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 59.2° (1.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Brian5671]

another week of dry weather looks likely-very un Nino like

[BobbyHolikWillFindYou]

Sun disappeared. Also the fog on Rt.23 in Wayne this morning was something else.

[nycwinter]

a day where you can wear a hoodie and not a heavy jacket..

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said:

Sun disappeared. Also the fog on Rt.23 in Wayne this morning was something else.

Why that color it looks like smog or smoke to me.

 

5 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

another week of dry weather looks likely-very un Nino like

This is a very good thing I hate el ninos. Enjoy the nice weather!

On 10/28/2026 at 1:40 PM, donsutherland1 said:

One. The bottom right photo. There appears to be a contrail in that photo.

Don I once saw something up here during our warm February 2018 that I still remember. No idea what it was but I'll describe it. In a completely clear blue sky there was a rainbow fragment visible at the zenith straight up but the colors were in reverse! No idea what that was or what it meant but an hour after that I was driving through NJ on my way to NY and there was a fire in the woods near I-80 where we were driving. Could there be a connection? What would what I saw be called?

 

 

 

[Nibor]

What a legendary run of pleasant weather.

[Dan76]

40 minutes ago, Nibor said:

What a legendary run of pleasant weather.

Hopefully payback is more weather like this.

[SACRUS]

 

To 70 today likely warmer Friday.   Gorgeous stretch for late October continues.

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 78 (1971)
NYC: 78 (1971)
LGA: 77 (1946)
JFK: 80 (1971)

Lows:

EWR: 30 (1965)
NYC: 31 (1925)
LGA: 33 (2011)
JFK: 32 (1965)


Historical:

 

1693: From the Royal Society of London: "There happened a most violent storm in Virginia which stopped the course of ancient channels and made some where there never were any." Known as the Accomack Storm, this event likely caused changes to the Delmarva shoreline

1917 - The temperature at Denver, CO, dipped to zero, and at Soda Butte, WY, the mercury plunged to 33 degrees below zero, a U.S. record for the month of October. (David Ludlum)

1925: The high temperature of 46 degrees today remains the coolest high temperature on record for October in Baltimore.
Lowest October High temperature for Baltimore

1942 - A tornado struck the town of Berryville in northwest Arkansas killing 20 persons and causing half a million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

1948: An historic smog event occurred in the town of Donora, Pennsylvania. The smog killed 20 people and sickened 7,000 more.

1956 - A violent tornado, or series of tornadoes, moved along a path more than 100 miles in length from south of North Platte NE into Rock County NE. It was an unusually late occurence so far north and west in the U.S. for such a storm. (The Weather Channel)

1985: Hurricane Juan, a rather large category 1 storm, meandered on near the Louisiana coast until the 31st when it finally made landfall on the Alabama coast. The slow movement of the storm resulted in excessive rains in Louisiana with many places receiving over 10 inches. Galliano, LA checked in with a storm total of 17.73 inches. Inland flooding combined with an 8 foot storm surge resulted in damage well over $500 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Severe thunderstorms in Arizona produced wind gusts to 86 mph at the Glendale Airport near Phoenix, baseball size hail and 70 mph winds at Wickenburg, and up to an inch of rain in fifteen minutes in Yavapai County and northwest Maricopa County. Arizona Public Service alone reported 2.5 million dollars damage from the storms. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Wintry weather prevailed in the Upper Midwest. South Bend, IN, equalled their record for October with a morning low of 23 degrees. International Falls MN reported a record low of 11 degrees in the morning, then dipped down to 8 degrees above zero late in the evening. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in Oklahoma and north central Texas during the late afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced weak tornadoes near Snyder and Davidson, and produced hail two inches in diameter at Altus. Large hail damaged 60 to 80 percent of the cotton crop in Tillman County OK. Nine cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 70s. For Marquette MI it marked their fifth straight day of record warmth. Arctic cold invaded the western U.S. Lows of 7 degrees at Alamosa CO and 9 degrees at Elko NV were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary)


1991: Bismarck, ND set their October snowfall record as 15.9 inches of snow fell through this date, bringing the total for the month to 23.5 inches. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) A deep upper level trough behind a frontal boundary brought record low temperatures for the date including: Chinook, MT: -24°, Havre, MT: -21°, Conrad, MT: -16°, Chester, MT: -15°, Valentine, MT: -15°, Cut Bank, MT: -14°, Stanford, MT: -11°, Butte, MT: -9°, Great Falls, MT: -5°, Sheridan, WY: -4°, Glasgow, MT: -2°, Helena, MT: -2°, Miles City, MT: -2°, Billings, MT: 1°, Rapid City, SD: 1°, Scottsbluff, NE: 3°, Valentine, NE: 5°-Tied, Burns, OR: 6° and Denver, CO: 7° with a record low maximum of 21°.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1996: A fast moving squall line producing wind gusts of 50 to 80 mph across parts of northern and central Illinois. The storms downed power lines and trees, which in turn damaged buildings that they fell on. The highest wind gusts were recorded in northeastern Illinois, with a reading of 80 mph at McHenry, 80 mph at Chicago Heights, 79 mph at Carpentersville, 68 mph on the west side of Chicago, 65 mph at Plano, 61 mph at O’Hare Airport, 60 mph at Yorkville and 60 mph at Orlan Park.
Further west, a windstorm blasted parts of the Colorado Rockies. Trees and power lines were downed and glass from several windshields were blown out. Property damage ran into the millions of dollars. The highest reported gusts were: Broomfield, CO: 101 mph, Golden Gate Canyon, CO: 100 mph, Coal Creek Canyon, CO: 96 mph, Boulder, CO: 87 mph and Denver International Airport: 43 mph. Insured damage totaled $5.2 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)



2005: Tropical Storm Beta reached hurricane status at 1 a.m. CDT Saturday morning as sustained winds reached 75 mph. With the hurricane status, Beta became the 13th hurricane to develop in the Atlantic Basin. This breaks the record of 12 hurricanes from the year 1969. Yet another record for the books this tropical season. Beta's Track - Weather Underground

2011 - New York City received one inch of snow, the earliest they had received that much snow since records began. It was also only the fourth times since the Civil War snow had fallen in New York City in October. The storm also left over three million people without power including 62% of the customers of Connecticut Light and Power.

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, Nibor said:

What a legendary run of pleasant weather.

I feel like we're gonna pay for this. 

[Stormlover74]

12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I feel like we're gonna pay for this. 

Yep in about a week. Though still mild

[MANDA]

Still nothing going on around here so anyone have memories of this one:

Power outages in my area of NNJ were brutal.  Lasted about a week in most spots and it was COLD.

https://x.com/Danbury_WX/status/2115785053150089670

 

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be another unseasonably mild day. Much of the region could approach or reach 70°. Unseasonable warmth will continue into the first week of November. Dry conditions will likely persist until late next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C. ENSO Region 3.4 breaks the all-time record most recently set in the prior week. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was +10.31 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.842 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 59.2° (1.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[donsutherland1]

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Why that color it looks like smog or smoke to me.

 

This is a very good thing I hate el ninos. Enjoy the nice weather!

Don I once saw something up here during our warm February 2018 that I still remember. No idea what it was but I'll describe it. In a completely clear blue sky there was a rainbow fragment visible at the zenith straight up but the colors were in reverse! No idea what that was or what it meant but an hour after that I was driving through NJ on my way to NY and there was a fire in the woods near I-80 where we were driving. Could there be a connection? What would what I saw be called?

 

 

 

It seems odd that smoke would have created the phenomenon, but it's tough to be sure.

[Stormlover74]

6 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Still nothing going on around here so anyone have memories of this one:

Power outages in my area of NNJ were brutal.  Lasted about a week in most spots and it was COLD.

https://x.com/Danbury_WX/status/2115785053150089670

 

Yep snow then a year later sandy