WxWatcher007 Posted September 22 Author Share Posted September 22 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I like to compare 12z to 00z, Gfs is a good bit east of 00z and less impactful, but well west of the 6z east outlier. All options still on the table. It’s in the envelope of possibilities, but man, it’s really on an island right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 38 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Nothing but heavy rain here in Townshend off that, not even strong winds Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk Do you really want strong winds? I like having power on. My location is pretty windproof outside of sever weather anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Phones off at school Too bad 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Do you really want strong winds? I like having power on. My location is pretty windproof outside of sever weather anyway. Fuck no buddy, considering going from downtown Brattleboro to now surrounded by trees on Rt30? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 CMC and GFS looks pretty similar. Euro is the only model showing this south of SNE at the moment no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 1 minute ago, OrangeCTWX said: CMC and GFS looks pretty similar. Euro is the only model showing this south of SNE at the moment no? I think all the AI’s are south too…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22 Author Share Posted September 22 2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said: CMC and GFS looks pretty similar. Euro is the only model showing this south of SNE at the moment no? Euro and EPS. AI Euro and its ensembles. GDM and its ensembles. That’s a pretty good consensus but far from a slam dunk at this stage. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Euro and EPS. AI Euro and its ensembles. GDM and its ensembles. That’s a pretty good consensus but far from a slam dunk at this stage. Was referring to the EURO products when I said EURO, sorry for the confusion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22 Author Share Posted September 22 2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said: Was referring to the EURO products when I said EURO, sorry for the confusion. Ah, all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Ukie is way east. But it probably can be discarded as it’s an outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 5 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said: Ukie is way east. But it probably can be discarded as it’s an outlier And that it sucks bad too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Yeah we can't ignore the rainfall aspect of this. This is a setup in which models (even the more aggressive models) could underplay rainfall totals. As impressive as the Euro is with rainfall totals, it could still be underdone (taking verbatim). That is a continuous fetch of moisture off the Atlantic and the system takes its sweet time occluding. There could be a swath of some substantial rainfall totals. In one fell swoop, @CoastalWx could get rid of his "imagined" Weymouth drought! LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22 Author Share Posted September 22 I mean, we do want our weenie models to show big hits. Drunken runs of 970mb lows ripping down all the vegetation from the cape to the Hudson valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 What are the Super Intelligence models showing? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: What are the Super Intelligence model showing? A Super Storm….. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I mean, we do want our weenie models to show big hits. Drunken runs of 970mb lows ripping down all the vegetation from the cape to the Hudson valley. Yup, Just a total wipeout of all trees over six feet tall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Euro AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Euro AI maximizes well south through. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Looks like we have to toss euro AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Euro coming west this run ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Courtesy of another forum Jeez much further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Courtesy of another forum Jeez much further west Another SW CT jack lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22 Author Share Posted September 22 lol if this coastal became a DC hit people would lose it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 One thing for certain. The GFS and Canadian will be wrong again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Euro too west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 If anyone wishes to chime in, I have a friend flying back from Colorado this Sunday. She should be ok getting in around 7pm. The worst should be over by then, no? Edit: maybe not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 22 Author Share Posted September 22 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement. Yep. Still a long way to go with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 euro is a crawl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 drops 6-8 in boston metro.. cars underwater at storrow dr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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