October 2026 general discussion

[jlauderdal]

2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Feel like I’ve got chickens. 

I was in Nashua earlier today and experienced the torch session prior to the convection, felt like mid 80's and dewey

[Baroclinic Zone]

Last 80s till January

[mitchnick]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Big big furnace setting up after the mild down . Ugly 

Euro weeklies say "not so fast."

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

[codfishsnowman]

Wow...88 both cef and bdl....ugh

Glad it's over

[VivaManchVegas]

4 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Feel like I’ve got chickens. 

That's wild.  We got enough to wet the driveway, not enough to register on the rain gauge. Nashua had a few blow ups after passing our area this year.  Congrats.  

Edit: poor spelling. 

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro weeklies say "not so fast."

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202610020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202610120000

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years 

[WxWatcher007]

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

C’mon, 45F with no shot of snow isn’t that stressful  

 

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

40, rain, mud, kids tracking it in house….while you post pics of the Stowe quad shrouded in dendrites. No stress here. 

 

3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Touche  

You’re a bad man.

So, when are we firing up the NNE snow, I mean, cold season, thread?

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years 

They were pretty good last winter with maintaining the cold. I haven't followed them since March.

[VivaManchVegas]

At least the acorns are dropping this year.  We had zero last year. Now it seems like a lot of smaller and normal acorns everywhere.  Just took the dog out, Owls still trying to scare the rabbits out of their comfort zone.  What a night. 

[powderfreak]

50 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

 

You’re a bad man.

So, when are we firing up the NNE snow, I mean, cold season, thread?

Tuesday looks like a chilly time to do it, ha.

[vortex95]

Looks like @CoastalWx gets to keep his beloved NAM a little longer!

As for his "garbage" model (RRFS), it does appear to have issues w/ making deeply  occluded lows into TCs too easily.  It did that for the most recent storm.  But non-TC CAMs usually do.
 

[dendrite]

We’re ending the NAM about as fast as the Iran war. 

[vortex95]

14 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

They typically mature too quickly and we get leftover banded mess. Not all, but I prefer Miller Bs here. That’s our bread and butter.

"Yah but" you do not have to be concerned about the storm developing "too late" or any issues w/ moisture.  You do not even need a strong sfc low and still get crushed.  Jan 20, 1978 is a classic example.  Gave BOS is biggest 24 hr snowstorm up this time.

[mreaves]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We’re ending the NAM about as fast as the Iran war. 

Wait, I thought we annihilated Iran?

[vortex95]

13 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

“Me fail English? That’s unpossible.”

"I HAZ?"

[WinterWolf]

33 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Wait, I thought we annihilated Iran?

We will…it’s just a matter of time…but this is a  weather forum..right? 

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That offers even more confidence it’s coming . They haven’t been correct in many many years 

That’s not really correct.  So Flip a coin…