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August 2026 Medium/ Long Range


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8 hours ago, stormy said:

Congratulations!!    I got a grand total of .02" for Thursday, August 6.................  .30" total for the first 6 days of August.  

Where's the rain???   At Charlottesville.   Over 4 inches for the first 6 days of August.

Awful.  I looked at CoCoRaHS for Aug 1-6 and almost all of Albemarle Co. is 3-5 inches while Augusta is half an inch or less.  Hope your luck changes

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6 hours ago, stormy said:

Make that 6 inches in Charlottesville the first 6 days of August

Not sure why they took Waynesboro Eastern Augusta off the extreme drought...  

Current situation up near CHO airport..  intense rains again.... large bolt just slammed something near or the runway itself - bolt seemed to freeze in air....

20260807_140732.jpg

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33 minutes ago, Jrlg1181 said:

Not sure why they took Waynesboro Eastern Augusta off the extreme drought...  

Current situation up near CHO airport..  intense rains again.... large bolt just slammed something near or the runway itself - bolt seemed to freeze in air....

20260807_140732.jpg

Montiviola about 10 miles southwest of Crozet reports 1.19" since noon. The east of the Blue Ridge daily monsoon continues while west of the B.R. a very serious drought situation gets worse by the day. 

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6 hours ago, stormy said:

Montiviola about 10 miles southwest of Crozet reports 1.19" since noon. The east of the Blue Ridge daily monsoon continues while west of the B.R. a very serious drought situation gets worse by the day. 

Yeah this is wild - absolutely nothing again today 

This almost has to be the driest area in the mid Atlantic since the 3rd week of June. From here up past the old East Side race track is barely hitting 2 inches in 6 weeks( Im not sure exactly where you are located ) It is what it is... Im glad Tstorm/ convective season is slowly coming to an end now as we hopefully trend toward more synoptic precip in the next several months ...

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Montiviola about 10 miles southwest of Crozet reports 1.19" since noon. The east of the Blue Ridge daily monsoon continues while west of the B.R. a very serious drought situation gets worse by the day. 

My weather station nearby in Faber, VA is at 13 inches since July 1st. Have had measurable rain every day of August so far.


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3 minutes ago, SilentTalkie said:


My weather station nearby in Faber, VA is at 13 inches since July 1st. Have had measurable rain every day of August so far.


.

Yeah it's crazy - I work out of Charlottesville - almost every day it's driving around at some point in some area in a tropical downpour... It's not like it's the entire valley - north toward Harrisonburg, west toward Staunton and south toward Stuarts Draft and obviously east is doing well... It's just one small area that simply refuses to produce convective rainfall right now ....

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12 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

I imagine the last Drought Monitor update of August will have widespread “abnormally dry”

Certain areas have improved,but not all areas have been as lucky. Hopefully, the Fall and Winter months will be much above normal precip helping to replenish the water tables and eliminating the drought.    

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1 hour ago, frd said:

Certain areas have improved,but not all areas have been as lucky. Hopefully, the Fall and Winter months will be much above normal precip helping to replenish the water tables and eliminating the drought.    

Looking at the precip map posted plus the stuff that’s fallen this week should still dent it a bit throughout the month.

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Nothing new here, summer seems to hang on in these parts until early October, last October I believe the cooler weather might have arrived a bit sooner, I know it was very dry though.  

 

Fall-temp-departures.jpg?w=632

 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/fall-forecast-2026-summer-warmth-may-linger-as-el-nino-intensifies/1915201

Where will fall feel the warmest?

September may feel more like an extension of summer across parts of the country, especially in the mid-Atlantic and southeastern U.S., where the above-average temperatures will be paired with high humidity and warm nights.

It may not be until October before the first intrusions of chilly air arrive in the north-central Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast, but these cold outbreaks are not expected to be long-lasting.

Worsening drought could also contribute to the warmth, including in the mid-Atlantic, interior Northwest and across the Rockies, where there are pockets of extreme to exceptional drought. The same dry pattern may also keep wildfire danger elevated into early fall, resulting in episodes of smoky conditions downwind of large blazes.

 

 

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12 minutes ago, yoda said:

um, can we not have what the 00z Euro tossed out in the super extended range (days 10-15)?  Definitely do not want.  Yes it will change at 12z... but no, do not want

 

Who will be correct?  

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