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August 2026 Medium/ Long Range


Weather Will
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060
FXUS61 KPHI 311012
AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
612 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The timing of the late weekend/early next week frontal system
has slowed a bit, with Sunday now looking mostly dry and most
precipitation coming in Sunday Night into Monday.

A Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall was added for areas along
and north/west of the I-95 corridor on Monday.

Updated aviation discussion for 12z TAFs.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Tranquil weather takes over through Saturday though a few
very isolated sea-breeze showers cannot be ruled out this
afternoon.

2. A frontal system on Sunday and Monday will bring the next
opportunity for widespread showers and thunderstorms. Increasing
confidence in potential heavy rain on Monday.
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1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z EURO is wet....and a lot of this falls through Day 3: not fantasy range.

IMG_0404.png

Wow - likely wont happen at least here if its convective in nature -  but that 1.96 would be more than the past 6 weeks combined..... 

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42 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z EURO is less robust through Tuesday; but will still take it!

IMG_0405.png

 

 

Well, on a positive note, overnight the WPC increased rainfall totals in the region. 

 

 

p168i.gif?1785593907

 

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31 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Time flies; hard to believe we are in the last full month of summer.  Losing about 2 minutes of daylight a day now.  Sunrise/ Sunset/ length of daylight at end of month: 

31 6:37 am  7:41 pm  13:04

You can almost feel it to a degree with the sun angle,  and can see it at night as the sunsets are noticeably earlier.  

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38 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Time flies; hard to believe we are in the last full month of summer.  Losing about 2 minutes of daylight a day now.  Sunrise/ Sunset/ length of daylight at end of month: 

31 6:37 am  7:41 pm  13:04

I'm counting June-Sept as summer to tell myself we have two more months.  Oct-Nov is fall to me; Dec-Mar winter and April-May spring.

That 7-day map above looks great!  Especially with that rain spread over several days

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27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Looks like no major heat in the long term. Maybe no more 95°+ days?

Appears next week out West will experience the peak intensity of the summer ridge, then it will start to decline.  I will go out on a limb and say we have seen the last of the 95 plus heat here.  

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2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

Time flies; hard to believe we are in the last full month of summer.  Losing about 2 minutes of daylight a day now.  Sunrise/ Sunset/ length of daylight at end of month: 

31 6:37 am  7:41 pm  13:04

Yes, I’ve been noticing the past two weeks that the sun is setting sooner than mid-June when it was still technically sunny just before an 8:35/8:40 sunset. It’s definitely been noticeable to me over last few weeks, so I even checked on it. Today we are losing 1:54 minutes daily in day length. Beginning August 5 we start losing two minutes of day length daily, which increases gradually over the rest of August, getting up to 2:26 minutes of lost day length by Aug 31. 
 

The rate of decreasing daylight starts slowing down, so that by the end of September we are losing “only” 2:32 minutes daily of day length. 

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