August 2026

[winterwx21]

2 hours ago, straphanger said:

Only 0.22" of rain for me...bit lower than I would've preferred to avoid watering the garden this week but it's fine with more rain chances coming up this week.

Does anyone know what might happen for next weekend?  Models seems to leave storm chances in much of the weekend, which is a bit of a bummer after the last 3 weekends were pretty dry.

Still a long way to go to figure out the weekend, but latest runs of GFS and Euro now show a dry Saturday. They do bring in some rain for Sunday. 

[SACRUS]

86 / 73 steaming up

[mikeysed]

For central NJ into interior new England, rains have been good to remove most drought conditions. How will our summer weather effect how foliage looks heading into the fall months?

[FPizz]

Clouded back up and looks like maybe some storms later if they hold on

[TriPol]

1 hour ago, mikeysed said:

For central NJ into interior new England, rains have been good to remove most drought conditions. How will our summer weather effect how foliage looks heading into the fall months?

If it continues to rain like it has, we could have excellent foliage. Imagine vibrant reds and oranges in central park!

[doncat]

83/71 currently...0.29" for event.

[donsutherland1]

A few spots could see an evening shower or thundershower. Most of the region will remain dry.

Tomorrow and Wednesday should mainly fair and warm. Highs will likely reach the middle 80s to perhaps upper 80s across the region. 

Another cold front could bring some showers or thundershowers to the region Wednesday night or Thursday. The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Thursday and Friday could see highs in the lower 80s. The weekend could feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -18.45 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.064 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (near normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Cyg]

Cool sky

[MarcmmKU]

4 hours ago, mikeysed said:

For central NJ into interior new England, rains have been good to remove most drought conditions. How will our summer weather effect how foliage looks heading into the fall months?

I would think good, but the likely warmer than normal overnight lows will reduce color. We need a very cold fall now to get good foliage.

[MarcmmKU]

3 hours ago, TriPol said:

If it continues to rain like it has, we could have excellent foliage. Imagine vibrant reds and oranges in central park!

Central park rarely gets good colors anymore because the UHI and CC+higher atmospheric moisture is producing record overnight lows.

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:
 

PHL: 89
New Brnswck: 86
ACY: 86
EWR: 85
BLM: 85
TTN: 85
TEB: 83
JFK: 82
NYC: 81
LGA: 80
ISP: 78

[SACRUS]

On 8/10/2026 at 9:28 AM, SACRUS said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[FPizz]

Brief heavy rain dropped .31" in about 10 minutes.  

[LibertyBell]

14 hours ago, bluewave said:

The summer of 1996 was the last time that JFK had over 50 days staying under 80° for a high temperature.

Most Days With High Temperature Under 80°Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1967	66	0
2	1996	55	0
3	1956	54	0
4	1950	52	0
5	1979	51	0
-	1954	51	0
-	1951	51	0
6	1992	50	0
7	1982	49	0
8	2000	48	0
9	1989	47	0
-	1977	47	0
-	1975	47	0
-	1953	47	0
10	1958	46	0
-	1957	46	0

 

Coolest Summer Average High Temperature Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	1967	77.2	0
2	1951	77.9	0
3	1996	78.2	0
-	1956	78.2	0
4	1992	78.4	0
5	1982	78.6	0
6	1979	78.7	0
-	1950	78.7	0
7	2000	78.8	0
8	1958	78.9	0
9	1976	79.1	0
10	2004	79.2	0
11	1957	79.3	0
-	1954	79.3	0
12	2009	79.4	0
-	1977	79.4	0
13	1975	79.5	0
14	1985	79.6	0
15	1965	79.7	0

 

This list is interesting to me because the top 2 came after great winters and the previous summers were super hot especially 1966. Number 3 also had an epic end to the snow season and the previous summer was also extremely hot. It's also interesting that 1977 is on this list when it had one of the hottest two week stretches this region has ever seen. Ditto 1953.

I wonder how this list looks for Mount Pocono, I know how cold it was here in the summer of 1992 I had my fireplace going most of the summer. Chris do you have a list of that and also the summers with the most highs below 70 degrees at both JFK and MPO? It was only in the mid 60s here yesterday and I remembered how much I hate it when the high temperature is below 70 and it's cloudy all day. It's bad enough that we have to deal with that in Spring and Fall, Summer is not supposed to be that way, Summer should be sunny, dry and hot with maybe one or two hours of rain per week that doesn't interfere with the sunshine or the heat. It's fine if it's cool and sunny because I have a ton of skylights that bring in the solar warmth but my house gets cold quickly if I dont have the heat or a fireplace on and there's no sunshine. On the flip side because of the size of the house and how much of it is tiled it does not heat up quickly in the summer even if it's hot outside. Even without turning my window AC on the house is 10-15 degrees cooler than the outside temperature in the heat. That's a good thing because only two rooms in this house are supportive of window AC a bedroom upstairs and the living room downstairs. In terms of heat when JFK was hitting 100-102 in early July it only got to 93-94 here and that 4 day stretch was the only time it was 90 or above here. It's never been higher than 94 here in all the years this house has been in our family, it also hit 94 in July 2011. I think there was a 95 back in 1954 and the only time it's been hotter than that was the torrid 3 day stretch of 98, 99 and 103 in early July 1911.

[NorthShoreWx]

Might have been some breaks in the clouds to the west, but just dark, dreary and damp wall to wall here today.  MaxT was 73° which is the lowest daily maxT since July 7 (max that day was 68°).  I've no problem with a few days with the wx like this, but the mosquitoes are beyond ridiculous this month.  Little buggers are pissing me off.  It's bad when you go backpacking to get away from them.

 

[LibertyBell]

11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Might have been some breaks in the clouds to the west, but just dark, dreary and damp wall to wall here today.  MaxT was 73° which is the lowest daily maxT since July 7 (max that day was 68°).  I've no problem with a few days with the wx like this, but the mosquitoes are beyond ridiculous this month.  Little buggers are pissing me off.  It's bad when you go backpacking to get away from them.

 

This is yet another reason I love hot and dry weather far fewer mosquitoes. 

[SI Mailman]

11 hours ago, FPizz said:

Awesome, hope you love it.  Went for the first time 4 years ago and have been back 6 more times since.

Last time I went to Aruba, I got grazed by a Tropical Depression that would eventually develop into Major Hurricane Ian in 2022.