weatherwiz Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Twitter is so ridiculous with weather. Everyone trying so hard to justify why PTC 5 is going to strengthen and going nuts with how the convection looks, how because its a tight circulation so all it needs to do is increase its spin, and blah blah blah...meanwhile recon is extremely meh lol. Its literally been happening yesterday with people trying to will this to just take off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Twitter is so ridiculous with weather. Everyone trying so hard to justify why PTC 5 is going to strengthen and going nuts with how the convection looks, how because its a tight circulation so all it needs to do is increase its spin, and blah blah blah...meanwhile recon is extremely meh lol. Its literally been happening yesterday with people trying to will this to just take off It’ll probably organize enough to get a name, but it’s still not there structurally. Hard to RI when you have no inner core. This would be 2/5 of my NS forecast. The next three need to be hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: It’ll probably organize enough to get a name, but it’s still not there structurally. Hard to RI when you have no inner core. This would be 2/5 of my NS forecast. The next three need to be hurricanes. Its been nothing but "a, b, and c look good, good sign its strengthening" "Thunderstorms blossoming around the center....good sign it's strengthening" "Angle of the thunderstorms...good sign it's strengthening" "Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening" But yeah this probably finds some way to get TS winds for about 7 minutes before moving inland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Its been nothing but "a, b, and c look good, good sign its strengthening" "Thunderstorms blossoming around the center....good sign it's strengthening" "Angle of the thunderstorms...good sign it's strengthening" "Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening" But yeah this probably finds some way to get TS winds for about 7 minutes before moving inland How's this any different than winter snow chances? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 2 minutes ago, JACKASS said: How's this any different than winter snow chances? No stupid snow maps to post when it comes to tropical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Top 10 day. 75/54. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Chamber approved. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Twitter is so ridiculous with weather. Everyone trying so hard to justify why PTC 5 is going to strengthen and going nuts with how the convection looks, how because its a tight circulation so all it needs to do is increase its spin, and blah blah blah...meanwhile recon is extremely meh lol. Its literally been happening yesterday with people trying to will this to just take off They get caught up in eye candy IR images and crazy model runs. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Our last major 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 27 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Our last major Hopefully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 Kind of a weird afternoon here, it seems to get humid then breezy and less humid. Was almost tempted to shut the air off and open the house up, goad I didn’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 21 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Kind of a weird afternoon here, it seems to get humid then breezy and less humid. Was almost tempted to shut the air off and open the house up, goad I didn’t Why what's the temperature there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 31 Share Posted August 31 11 minutes ago, kdxken said: Why what's the temperature there? 68F now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VivaManchVegas Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 4 hours ago, powderfreak said: Chamber approved. Last time I went to Stowe was 2004. It was during the summer for a few days. My second child was born 9 months later.. ahem. I have skied there, but that was in 1987. I have the epic pass for next year. We will be going this year for a few days with my youngest Teen. Wife doesn't ski, so any in town VRBO's or Inn's suggestions would be good @powderfreak. She loves the small town shops. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 13 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats you to Dendy. Couple inches of boring rain 13 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Eat shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: Must have taken you a long time to find the one model that shows that, weak sauce man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 Wonder why these weren’t posted ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Must have taken you a long time to find the one model that shows that, weak sauce man 18z gfs Yeah…about 20 seconds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wonder why these weren’t posted ? I actually do think Thu is wet here. I just had to laugh at that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 1 hour ago, VivaManchVegas said: Last time I went to Stowe was 2004. It was during the summer for a few days. My second child was born 9 months later.. ahem. I have skied there, but that was in 1987. I have the epic pass for next year. We will be going this year for a few days with my youngest Teen. Wife doesn't ski, so any in town VRBO's or Inn's suggestions would be good @powderfreak. She loves the small town shops. www.StoweCountryHomes.com for rentals. Black Diamond BBQ and Trapps Bier Hall for food. Northwood Gallery in the village for a small town shop featuring Vermont artists. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 August numbers: Avg max: 76.2 +1.4 Warmest, 87 on the 6th Avg min: 54.9 +1.7 Coolest, 43 on the 31st Mean: 65.5 +1.5 Met summer: 64.6 +1.2 6th warmest of 29 Precip: 2.46" -1.58" Wettest day, 1.05" on the 3rd Like July, August 2026 started very warm then spent the rest of the month near normal. Days 1-11 were 4.4° AN, had the 6 warmest days and had 1.83" rain Days 12-31 were 0.2° AN, had no days warmer than 78 and had only 0.63" rain. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Wednesday at 08:27 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:27 AM On 8/29/2026 at 11:46 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Of all things too…they don’t keep snow records. That’s annoying. Did you know there is an AWOS at Lake Placid? METARs started a few years ago! https://www.airnav.com/airport/KLKP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Wednesday at 08:40 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:40 AM On 8/29/2026 at 5:27 AM, ineedsnow said: I think ex Dolly might have a chance to develop in the Bahamas or gulf.. both options on the table but unfortunately will end up ots or heading west underneath that high.. nothing to bring it up as of now.. You got Edouard instead. Did you weenie out tracking it on radar all night last night, and say, "when is this thing going to intensify!" It took its time and waited until the last min! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Wednesday at 08:55 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:55 AM On 8/30/2026 at 6:52 AM, BrianW said: What a summer for SW CT.. While there remains forecast uncertainty this far out, it appears the region will have the potential for convectively induced heavy rain and embedded thunderstorm activity. WPC currently has the area under a marginal risk of excessive rainfall Monday through Thursday morning, and SPC persists in placing the area in a 15 percent chance of severe weather on Day 5 (Wednesday) which is rare to see this far out in time. So the middle of next week will bear watching as PWATs are progged to climb into the 1.5-2 inch neighborhood by Tuesday into Thursday Sometimes quite localized areas get repeatedly hammered. Looks at just RI, ern MA, an Downeast ME Jan-Feb 2015. It was relentless! But regarding snowstorms and the synoptic scale, the odds of them all just whaling on this small part of New England for 6 weeks? That's pretty incredible, YET it happened! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Wednesday at 09:02 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:02 AM On 8/30/2026 at 8:32 AM, dendrite said: Imagine 850 temps like this the morning of 8/30. 0C ALB, -3C PWM, -4C CAR On 9/16/1986, while a spinner occurred at 635am in Scituate MA, it was snowing in NNE w/ 2" at Glen NH. I recall it well b/c during tstms in ern MA, it was so cold during them! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted Wednesday at 09:22 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:22 AM On 8/31/2026 at 12:13 PM, weatherwiz said: Its been nothing but "a, b, and c look good, good sign its strengthening" "Thunderstorms blossoming around the center....good sign it's strengthening" "Angle of the thunderstorms...good sign it's strengthening" "Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening" But yeah this probably finds some way to get TS winds for about 7 minutes before moving inland All the quoted statements above are useless from a TC analysis perspective. I've done Dvorak analysis and classification for TCs globally for 5 years at my current job, and the details often are everything! "Tstms blossoming around the center," one must ask, "is it smooth, persistent, and banded convection or just irregular blobs pulsing up and down?" This difference is huge as to signs of organization or short-term trends. Also, it makes a difference if the convection blossoms right over the center vs. it not. The former is much better for intensification potential. At about 1230z on 9/1 we finally saw this w/ Edouard after hours of blob convection away from the center and then it started to intensify markedly. "Angle of thunderstorms" No one in tropical met field ever says that. It reminds me of what Bill Paxton said in 'Twister' -- "look at the ANGLE of the updraft!" Artistic license for the movie! "Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening" Well, thanks Captain Obvious, we know it is a compact storm, and spinning more is good thing, but how about some actual empirical observations rather than drivel speculation!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted Wednesday at 02:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:30 PM 5 hours ago, vortex95 said: Sometimes quite localized areas get repeatedly hammered. Looks at just RI, ern MA, an Downeast ME Jan-Feb 2015. It was relentless! But regarding snowstorms and the synoptic scale, the odds of them all just whaling on this small part of New England for 6 weeks? That's pretty incredible, YET it happened! Pack at Machias (20' asl) reached 74" in March 2015, likely a top-10 depth in Maine records, and by far tops for saltwater shoreline sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago On 8/20/2026 at 6:03 PM, kdxken said: So cool. Could be wrong but looks like a Farmall H? Had one for many years. Tough to kill. @kdxken My best Farmall H. Creeper 1st gear, high 4th, and wound out the governor. Use it mostly for over the road work, why it lacks rear wheel weights. Rear hubs aren’t painted because I first had steel wheels on it. Need to find a pic of that setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now