Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,014
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand


Recommended Posts

Twitter is so ridiculous with weather. Everyone trying so hard to justify why PTC 5 is going to strengthen and going nuts with how the convection looks, how because its a tight circulation so all it needs to do is increase its spin, and blah blah blah...meanwhile recon is extremely meh lol. Its literally been happening yesterday with people trying to will this to just take off

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Twitter is so ridiculous with weather. Everyone trying so hard to justify why PTC 5 is going to strengthen and going nuts with how the convection looks, how because its a tight circulation so all it needs to do is increase its spin, and blah blah blah...meanwhile recon is extremely meh lol. Its literally been happening yesterday with people trying to will this to just take off

It’ll probably organize enough to get a name, but it’s still not there structurally. Hard to RI when you have no inner core. 

This would be 2/5 of my NS forecast. The next three need to be hurricanes. :yikes:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

It’ll probably organize enough to get a name, but it’s still not there structurally. Hard to RI when you have no inner core. 

This would be 2/5 of my NS forecast. The next three need to be hurricanes. :yikes:

Its been nothing but "a, b, and c look good, good sign its strengthening" :lol: 

"Thunderstorms blossoming around the center....good sign it's strengthening"

"Angle of the thunderstorms...good sign it's strengthening"

"Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening"

But yeah this probably finds some way to get TS winds for about 7 minutes before moving inland

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Its been nothing but "a, b, and c look good, good sign its strengthening" :lol: 

"Thunderstorms blossoming around the center....good sign it's strengthening"

"Angle of the thunderstorms...good sign it's strengthening"

"Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening"

But yeah this probably finds some way to get TS winds for about 7 minutes before moving inland

How's this any different than winter snow chances?

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Twitter is so ridiculous with weather. Everyone trying so hard to justify why PTC 5 is going to strengthen and going nuts with how the convection looks, how because its a tight circulation so all it needs to do is increase its spin, and blah blah blah...meanwhile recon is extremely meh lol. Its literally been happening yesterday with people trying to will this to just take off

They get caught up in eye candy IR images and crazy model runs.  

  • Haha 1
  • 100% 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Chamber approved.

IMG_9496.thumb.jpeg.13b7505178bce24194e335d505430378.jpeg

Last time I went to Stowe was 2004.   It was during the summer for a few days.  My second child was born 9 months later.. ahem.  I have skied there, but that was in 1987.  I have the epic pass for next year.  We will be going this year for a few days with my youngest Teen.  Wife doesn't ski, so any in town VRBO's or Inn's suggestions would be good @powderfreak.  She loves the small town shops. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, VivaManchVegas said:

Last time I went to Stowe was 2004.   It was during the summer for a few days.  My second child was born 9 months later.. ahem.  I have skied there, but that was in 1987.  I have the epic pass for next year.  We will be going this year for a few days with my youngest Teen.  Wife doesn't ski, so any in town VRBO's or Inn's suggestions would be good @powderfreak.  She loves the small town shops. 

www.StoweCountryHomes.com for rentals.  Black Diamond BBQ and Trapps Bier Hall for food.  Northwood Gallery in the village for a small town shop featuring Vermont artists.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

August numbers:
Avg max:   76.2   +1.4    Warmest, 87 on the 6th
Avg min:    54.9   +1.7    Coolest, 43 on the 31st
Mean:        65.5   +1.5
Met summer:  64.6    +1.2    6th warmest of 29

Precip:   2.46"    -1.58"   Wettest day, 1.05" on the 3rd

Like July, August 2026 started very warm then spent the rest of the month near normal.
Days 1-11 were 4.4° AN, had the 6 warmest days and had 1.83" rain
Days 12-31 were 0.2° AN, had no days warmer than 78 and had only 0.63" rain.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/29/2026 at 5:27 AM, ineedsnow said:

I think ex Dolly might have a chance to develop in the Bahamas or gulf.. both options on the table but unfortunately will end up ots or heading west underneath that high.. nothing to bring it up as of now.. 

You got Edouard instead.  Did you weenie out tracking it on radar all night last night, and say, "when is this thing going to intensify!"  It took its time and waited until the last min! :D

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/30/2026 at 6:52 AM, BrianW said:

What a summer for SW CT..

While there remains forecast uncertainty this far out, it appears the region will have the potential for convectively induced heavy rain and embedded thunderstorm activity. WPC currently has the area under a marginal risk of excessive rainfall Monday through Thursday morning, and SPC persists in placing the area in a 15 percent chance of severe weather on Day 5 (Wednesday) which is rare to see this far out in time. So the middle of next week will bear watching as PWATs are progged to climb into the 1.5-2 inch neighborhood by Tuesday into Thursday

Sometimes quite localized areas get repeatedly hammered.  Looks at just RI, ern MA, an Downeast ME Jan-Feb 2015.  It was relentless!  But regarding snowstorms and the synoptic scale, the odds of them all just whaling on this small part of New England for 6 weeks? That pretty incredible, YET it happened!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/30/2026 at 8:32 AM, dendrite said:

Imagine 850 temps like this the morning of 8/30. 0C ALB, -3C PWM, -4C CAR

image.gif

On 9/16/1986, while a spinner occurred at 635am in Scituate MA, it was snowing in NNE w/ 2" at Glen NH.  I recall it well b/c during tstms in ern MA, it was so cold during them!

 

1986tor.jpg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...