July 2026 General Discussion

[OHweather]

On 7/6/2026 at 1:08 PM, TheClimateChanger said:

This is crazy. I didn't see anything about this until someone in the NE Ohio thread mentioned. 

 

There have been a few of these massive downpours over Lake Erie during the summer months over the last several summers. It happens when the lake water is in the upper 70s/lower 80s and we get slow moving convection over the lake (usually at night). Put-In-Bay got 8-10” of rain and flooded one night in August 2023, and there have been a couple other times where I remember radar estimates of 10”+ over the open lake. This event was very high end and affected an island directly. There was significant flooding from 4-7” of rain (after 1-3” the day before) along the western Lake Erie shoreline on Monday from continued lake enhanced thunderstorms. 

[A-L-E-K]

Couple days of ne winds with lil bite keeping us in the upper 70s before heat builds back

[A-L-E-K]

6 hours ago, OHweather said:

There have been a few of these massive downpours over Lake Erie during the summer months over the last several summers. It happens when the lake water is in the upper 70s/lower 80s and we get slow moving convection over the lake (usually at night). Put-In-Bay got 8-10” of rain and flooded one night in August 2023, and there have been a couple other times where I remember radar estimates of 10”+ over the open lake. This event was very high end and affected an island directly. There was significant flooding from 4-7” of rain (after 1-3” the day before) along the western Lake Erie shoreline on Monday from continued lake enhanced thunderstorms. 

Had been wondering, lake are big enough that hypothetically if they get warm enough, you might see some pseudo tropical processes briefly at play

[weatherbo]

Nice night to have the windows open and cool the house down.  Low of 48 here, cool spot in MQT County was 40 @ Eagle Mine.  Warm day in the upper-70's on tap before another round of heat settles in.

[Stebo]

It will be interesting to see which model wins the heat battle this time, last heatwave it was the Euro lower on temps. This time the Euro is going nuts and the GFS is subdued.

[OHweather]

18 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Had been wondering, lake are big enough that hypothetically if they get warm enough, you might see some pseudo tropical processes briefly at play

Yeah, there definitely was some positive feedback over Lake Erie that night with the convection helping to develop a mesolow, which in turn then kept the convection relatively stationary and intense. 

[A-L-E-K]

Locked in on summer classic

 

 

[Brian D]

Heritage Days in Two Harbors started Thurs. Parade today will be starting soon. Right now temps in the upper 70's with a 65 dew. Mid 80's forecast for mid aftrn. 

[Chinook]

8 hours ago, Brian D said:

Heritage Days in Two Harbors started Thurs. Parade today will be starting soon. Right now temps in the upper 70's with a 65 dew. Mid 80's forecast for mid aftrn. 

For all you Minnesotans out there, the International Falls evening weather sounding said 89/71 with 4447 J/kg of CAPE with no storms nearby.

[Baum]

Thinking higher temps this heat bubble in my backyard versus the round of swamp azz from two weeks ago.

[A-L-E-K]

13 minutes ago, Baum said:

Thinking higher temps this heat bubble in my backyard versus the round of swamp azz from two weeks ago.

Gonna spend a lot of time floating in the lake after work this week

[weatherbo]

Rare severe storm over the Keweenaw coming in from the nw has held severe intensity since Isle Royal.  Usually the cold water is a death nail to storms.  Hopefully it holds together as it approaches the n shore of Marquette County.  A storm would be nice to kick off the heatwave.

[cyclone77]

Should have a nice long break from mowing in about a week or so as the lawns will start to fry up.  Already been over a week without a drop of rain, and a long string of 90s on the way.

[Brian D]

Currently 78 in town (even on the shoreline), 80 at the TH arprt @ 9:30 am. And so it begins. Lets see if we can hit 100 in the area. WX wise that'd be awesome. Practically, ISH!

[A-L-E-K]

3 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Should have a nice long break from mowing in about a week or so as the lawns will start to fry up.  Already been over a week without a drop of rain, and a long string of 90s on the way.

Think we manage an mcs into the area at some point but I get the sentiment here

[weatherbo]

High of 84, well below the 92 forecasted.  Had a severe warned storm move through that did not produce severe conditions but did drop .74" of much needed rain. Point up to 99 tomorrow. Gonna be brutal... currently 73.

[A-L-E-K]

NAM tries to leak some moisture in to the area up under the ridge late week setting off some garden variety, something to watch as we torch under full sun for most the week

[A-L-E-K]

some low end thunder chances entering the mix, probably a miss west/south but will be nice to see some towers again

[Brian D]

There are currently 17 wildfires in the BWCA. Was closed, and is being evac'd. Major fires to the N in CAN. Smoke will be moving through here tomorrow. 

[Brian D]

Wildfire season well under way in NA.

[A-L-E-K]

It's coming  x sunset season

 

 

[BeastFromTheEast]

[A-L-E-K]

it's coming 

 

[Powerball]

1 hour ago, BeastFromTheEast said:

On the plus side, that might be enough to hold temps down on Thursday...

[TheClimateChanger]

Up to 102F at Oscoda, Michigan. Toronto, Ont. was up to 97F at the top of the hour.

[TheClimateChanger]

2 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Up to 102F at Oscoda, Michigan. Toronto, Ont. was up to 97F at the top of the hour.

Wow! 104F now. Really mixing well there - downsloping effects? Dews are cratering with gusty west winds.

[TheClimateChanger]

2 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Wow! 104F now. Really mixing well there - downsloping effects? Dews are cratering with gusty west winds.

Looks legit by the way, maybe a tad warm. Checked PWS stations around there and most were in the 100-103F range, even right to the shore.

[Powerball]

6 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Wow! 104F now. Really mixing well there - downsloping effects? Dews are cratering with gusty west winds.

Yes to downsloping.

[sbnwx85]

1 hour ago, BeastFromTheEast said:

Correct me if i'm wrong, but wouldn't this be like "block out the sun for a few hours" kind of stuff in Michigan?

[TheClimateChanger]

MKE was 97F at the last METAR observation. Up to 98F/99F now, per 5 minute observations. Last ob was 99F. Due to rounding probably only 98F, but definitely above 97F.