GaWx Posted Thursday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:56 PM 5 hours ago, Ji said: Hearing rumors that new euro is very snowy The next Euro forecast going into winter won’t be released until Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Thursday at 05:26 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 05:26 PM 1 hour ago, GaWx said: The next Euro forecast going into winter won’t be released until Saturday. its already out boss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Thursday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:40 PM 11 minutes ago, Ji said: its already out boss That says August. The August forecast isn’t new. The Sept 1st forecast is the new one we’re waiting for. The monthly Euro forecasts are normally released on the 5th of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Thursday at 05:40 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 05:40 PM On 2/20/2026 at 3:17 PM, bncho said: NAM looks more neg tilted thru hr 42 On 2/20/2026 at 3:17 PM, Interstate said: Yeah that looks more positivity tilted than the 12Z we in midseason form or what? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Thursday at 05:42 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 05:42 PM 1 minute ago, GaWx said: That says August. The August forecast isn’t new. The Sept 1st forecast is the new one we’re waiting for. The monthly Euro forecasts are normally released on the 5th of the month. yikes....guy had init: august 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Thursday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:20 PM 4 hours ago, Ji said: yikes....guy had init: august 26 Someone got tricked. The ECMWF Seasonal forecast is a component of the Copernicus, which is an ensemble of multiple models. Now hold your ears- what we talkin about here is the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Apparently the latest edition was released on the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 11:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:01 PM 41 minutes ago, CAPE said: Someone got tricked. The ECMWF Seasonal forecast is a component of the Copernicus, which is an ensemble of multiple models. Now hold your ears- what we talkin about here is the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Apparently the latest edition was released on the 26th. Or maybe just August 2026 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:05 PM The Cansips released 9/1/26 was snowy fwiw. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Thursday at 11:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:17 PM 23 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Or maybe just August 2026 Yes, Aug 26th, but the new Euro Seasonal isnt due out for a couple more days, which means that product included the early August edition. That is clearly not the Sept edition of the ECMWF Seasonal forecast for Feb 2027, as is suggested by Ji. Now whether he misinterpreted it or the dude who posted it fucked up, I have no idea lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Thursday at 11:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:20 PM 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The Cansips released 9/1/26 was snowy fwiw. Lets bring that east a tad lol. Looks great for the highlands. Generally expected in a strong Nino though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:29 PM 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Lets bring that east a tad lol. Looks great for the highlands. Generally expected in a strong Nino though. I haven't had an AN snowfall season since 20/21. I'm needing this one bad. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Thursday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:33 PM Just now, mitchnick said: I haven't had an AN snowfall season since 20/21. I'm needing this one bad. Hopefully you aren't too far east for this one. I have learned that Ninas are better for snow here relative to avg, at least since 2016. I can cope with lots of cold rain this winter if that's how it ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Thursday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:43 PM 23 minutes ago, CAPE said: Lets bring that east a tad lol. Looks great for the highlands. Generally expected in a strong Nino though. I'm so excited to be staying on the snowiest highland east of the rocky mountains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Thursday at 11:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:49 PM 1 minute ago, dailylurker said: I so excited to be on the snowiest highland east of the rocky mountains The most important feature(s) for there are a -AO/EPO (same here really although we could still fail lol) that will bring a flow of Arctic cold air southeastward across lake America 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 12:15 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:15 AM 42 minutes ago, CAPE said: Hopefully you aren't too far east for this one. I have learned that Ninas are better for snow here relative to avg, at least since 2016. I can cope with lots of cold rain this winter if that's how it ends up. Before I got the place here in fall 2019, it did pretty well with Niñas and always substantially better than BWI. Showmethesnow used to routinely humiliate BWI totals. But that changed after I moved here except for 20/21. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted yesterday at 05:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:32 AM 5 hours ago, dailylurker said: I'm so excited to be staying on the snowiest highland east of the rocky mountains DL is ALWAYS chasin' the Snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 11:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:52 AM 18 hours ago, Ji said: its already out boss That Andrej Flis dude is such a weenie....always finds a way to end up with a cold/snowy narrative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 11:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:55 AM 13 hours ago, CAPE said: Someone got tricked. The ECMWF Seasonal forecast is a component of the Copernicus, which is an ensemble of multiple models. Now hold your ears- what we talkin about here is the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). Apparently the latest edition was released on the 26th. Take that source with a giant grain of salt....the Europeweather site views everything through snow/cold goggles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted yesterday at 12:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:02 PM New euro doesn’t come out until 5th of each month. Tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 12:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:19 PM 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Take that source with a giant grain of salt....the Europeweather site views everything through snow/cold goggles. And there's something wrong with that? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted yesterday at 12:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:41 PM 13 hours ago, CAPE said: Lets bring that east a tad lol. Looks great for the highlands. Generally expected in a strong Nino though. Looks like Stephens City is gonna have a +3ft anomaly season, doesn't seem possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago WB latest CFSV2 30 day multi run precip and temps maps for Dec-March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest CFSV2 multi run for Dec-March. If that even comes close to verifying, uhhhhh f**k yeah! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 13 hours ago Author Share Posted 13 hours ago 59 minutes ago, katabatic said: If that even comes close to verifying, uhhhhh f**k yeah! Feb is too dry though. Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB latest CFSV2 30 day multi run precip and temps maps for Dec-March. You should post that over in the main Enso thread. You're sure to make lots of friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 9 hours ago Author Share Posted 9 hours ago These Ai models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Updated Euro seasonal. A touch warmer for the winter months by around .5C. Still wet. Link to everything off this run. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]} 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 39 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Updated Euro seasonal. A touch warmer for the winter months by around .5C. Still wet. Link to everything off this run. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]} Maybe @Weather Will can post some of the monthly maps when he gets a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago 27 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Maybe @Weather Will can post some of the monthly maps when he gets a chance. I could but not going to bother lol. I am sure he will post 10 maps. Its very similar to last month but yes each winter month is a bit milder than the last run for the MA and NE. Milder across the south too. Nothing remarkably different at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 16 minutes ago Author Share Posted 16 minutes ago I could but not going to bother lol. I am sure he will post 10 maps. Its very similar to last month but yes each winter month is a bit milder than the last run for the MA and NE. Milder across the south too. Nothing remarkably different at h5. Combine the euro cfs and cansips and we probably good lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now