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Summer 2026 Med/Long Range Discussion


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Looks like a winter snowstorm map where I am rooting for a 50 mile shift north to get into the good stuff.  Here's hoping that at least part of the sub gets to stave off this dryness that is expanding in the region.

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14 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Looks like another round of 75-80 degree dews on the way for much of the sub this weekend into next week.  Ready 2 sweat.

Not really seeing any 80 degree dews on any model runs boss. 

Maybe over by you near the cornfields and points west. GLOV looks to avoid anything extreme. 
 

Will def hit low 70s but we had that this week already, nothing noteworthy. 

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3 hours ago, BeastFromTheEast said:

Not really seeing any 80 degree dews on any model runs boss. 

Maybe over by you near the cornfields and points west. GLOV looks to avoid anything extreme. 
 

Will def hit low 70s but we had that this week already, nothing noteworthy. 

75-80 def looks likely here.  Euro shows 79-80 here Monday as well.  Wouldn't be surprised to see low 80s in heavily corny areas.

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11 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

somewhat persistent lakes trough keeping things manageable for now but looks to weaken/slide east

idk about 80 but he'll certainly have multiple mid to upper 70 dp days into august here

 

 

We've had periods of heat back in June and last month and with more plentiful rainfall over the next week or so, it looks like we can just write off August as a whole.
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On 8/6/2026 at 12:24 PM, cyclone77 said:

75-80 def looks likely here.  Euro shows 79-80 here Monday as well.  Wouldn't be surprised to see low 80s in heavily corny areas.

Upper 70s dews yesterday, and today dews range from 79-81 over a large portion of the DVN and into LOT cwa.

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2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

image.png.621ebd87a2cc18f73fcfc887d9504d01.png

p strong agreement on more relief in droughtville

I'm glad we got a bit of pre-soaking in last week before this Howitzer train hit. If it would've hit at the beginning of the month when my ground was so dry it was Bonneville lake bed cracking all of that juice would've ran straight for the creeks and rivers. Ground is setup to do some aquifer regeneration. It really shows out here in rural areas where with as much rain as we've gotten this week it's been soaking in fast. We're saturated now, need a break to drain lol.

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2 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

If anything from the ATL side can survive the Godzilla Nino...

Yeah. I'm more concerned with home growns this year . Not necessarily hurricanes either. Tropical systems that can form in the GOM, even weak ones, this year are going to be loaded water guns moving inland. While El Nino's usually cut down on overall numbers, they usually load up weaker storms. And we certainly don't want a GOM system riding up the MS river this year after what just happened. We're going to be flood prone for the next month with no rain. Rivers and creeks are still in Moderate to Major flood stages. If you stop and walk up to a corn or soybean field theres a lake under most of them.

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31 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Yeah. I'm more concerned with home growns this year . Not necessarily hurricanes either. Tropical systems that can form in the GOM, even weak ones, this year are going to be loaded water guns moving inland. While El Nino's usually cut down on overall numbers, they usually load up weaker storms. And we certainly don't want a GOM system riding up the MS river this year after what just happened. We're going to be flood prone for the next month with no rain. Rivers and creeks are still in Moderate to Major flood stages. If you stop and walk up to a corn or soybean field theres a lake under most of them.

Was just going to mention those sneaky buggers just offshore that find a calm spot to go full Andrew. Along with weaker waves that find there way in.

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7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

given the magnitude, the godzilla el nino almost certainly already playing a role in our weather and i'm curious to see how things play out as we head closer to october, suspect we're about to see a warm fall for the record books

A strong El Niño favors a cool Fall that turns mild for December but who knows. 

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