April 2026 Medium/ Long Range

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS keeps it cool through mid May.  Next long range rain chance toward the end of next week.

[Paleocene]

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z EPS keeps Saturday system to the south.

 

GEFS gave up on it too, looks southis

[frd]

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

The map I posted above updated- I guess its linked. It looks less impressive for tomorrow than when I posted it.

Yep, even the 7 day looks way less impressive 

 

 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z HRRR for Wed.  If only....

[Eskimo Joe]

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z HRRR for Wed.  If only....

That would be perfect actually.

[frd]

4 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z EPS keeps Saturday system to the south.

WPC nailed it again. 

[IronTy]

This crap cold weather couldn't come at a worse time.  The rubber band is going to snap back to mega heat just in time for the hottest part of the year.  It's gonna be 110F DPs and derechos all the way down. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

57 minutes ago, IronTy said:

This crap cold weather couldn't come at a worse time.  The rubber band is going to snap back to mega heat just in time for the hottest part of the year.  It's gonna be 110F DPs and derechos all the way down. 

This is what we get for a warm March. 

[pazzo83]

3 hours ago, IronTy said:

This crap cold weather couldn't come at a worse time.  The rubber band is going to snap back to mega heat just in time for the hottest part of the year.  It's gonna be 110F DPs and derechos all the way down. 

yeah we are not playing this well lol.

[frd]

On 4/28/2026 at 7:52 AM, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z EPS keeps it cool through mid May.  Next long range rain chance toward the end of next week.

[JenkinsJinkies]

Did something else break in the atmosphere and now it’s raining less? Seriously ever since early 2023 we’ve needed the stars to align for a decent rainfall event, it’s not supposed to be this hard.

[dailylurker]

13 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Did something else break in the atmosphere and now it’s raining less? Seriously ever since early 2023 we’ve needed the stars to align for a decent rainfall event, it’s not supposed to be this hard.

Just patterns. From 2020 to 23 it was a swamp around here. It even killed off lots of trees due to excessive rainfall and wet soil. From 2023 until now it's been the opposite. Guess what's coming next? Lol

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

Just patterns. From 2020 to 23 it was a swamp around here. It even killed off lots of trees due to excessive rainfall and wet soil. From 2023 until now it's been the opposite. Guess what's coming next? Lol

More like 2018-2022. Also who’s to say we don’t go right back to famine after the niño ends?

[IronTy]

4 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

More like 2018-2022. Also who’s to say we don’t go right back to famine after the niño ends?

I went down the rabbit hole of the climate in the mid Atlantic during the Paleocene epoch, under the assumption that were slowly heading in that direction with climate.  Of course there's no ironclad consensus, but the studies I read did seem to indicate that our region was drier during that time.  Especially the winters were very dry with somewhat more moisture during the summer.  

[dailylurker]

8 minutes ago, IronTy said:

I went down the rabbit hole of the climate in the mid Atlantic during the Paleocene epoch, under the assumption that were slowly heading in that direction with climate.  Of course there's no ironclad consensus, but the studies I read did seem to indicate that our region was drier during that time.  Especially the winters were very dry with somewhat more moisture during the summer.  

Feels like a 3 year cycle. You're right though. Who knows what is coming. 

[stormy]

The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative.

The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.  

[Paleocene]

1 hour ago, IronTy said:

I went down the rabbit hole of the climate in the mid Atlantic during the Paleocene epoch, under the assumption that were slowly heading in that direction with climate.  Of course there's no ironclad consensus, but the studies I read did seem to indicate that our region was drier during that time.  Especially the winters were very dry with somewhat more moisture during the summer.  

Did someone call my name? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene–Eocene_thermal_maximum

[Paleocene]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Just patterns. From 2020 to 23 it was a swamp around here. It even killed off lots of trees due to excessive rainfall and wet soil. From 2023 until now it's been the opposite. Guess what's coming next? Lol

I think in 2018 DCA got 66" of precip lol. Basically double what we've had the last couple years.  I felt like we were living in Florida that year

[Maestrobjwa]

42 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

I think in 2018 DCA got 66" of precip lol. Basically double what we've had the last couple years.  I felt like we were living in Florida that year

Man that year it rained literally every. Single. Weekend. I think we broke some kind of record for consecutive weekends of rain, lol

[Stormchaserchuck1]

5 hours ago, stormy said:

The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative.

The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.  

Pretty neutral here

[Stormchaserchuck1]

4 hours ago, Paleocene said:

I think in 2018 DCA got 66" of precip lol. Basically double what we've had the last couple years.  I felt like we were living in Florida that year

Was it July 2018 where we got 18"? One of those July's, I remember it raining like crazy

Over the years our thunderstorm season has shifted from the Spring to late June and July.

[Paleocene]

1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Was it July 2018 where we got 18"? One of those July's, I remember it raining like crazy

Over the years our thunderstorm season has shifted from the Spring to late June and July.

Either July or August. It was biblical looking downpours