Winter 2026-2027 Speculation

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Use of sensible weather analogs will pose a unique challenge this year given the rapid state of flux throughout the hemisphere....you can't take them at face value. -EPO predominated Winter 2018-2019, so given that this season should have a +EPO, flipping the anomalies may provide some value. Coolest se, warmest high plains.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I will probably have much grinding of teeth, with regards to precipitation type, between mby and the hills around me but I think a decent N & W of RT2 winter is inbound. 

[stadiumwave]

On 9/8/2026 at 7:43 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Why isn't it H5? 200mb is somewhat less helpful.

That would be a question for Paul. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Sept. EURO seasonal has DJF snowfall about 9" below average inside of rt 128, and 6" below average outside. I have no issue with that forecast. Western New England is 4-5" below.

[40/70 Benchmark]

[40/70 Benchmark]

Makes sense to me...entirely reasonable.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not bad at all for down here 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Not bad at all for down here 

It's easy to look at the color scheme and want to take a plunge off of the Tobin, but it's not bad at all and fits with the more fruitful super El Nino scenarios.