Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

I was initially shocked to see the PDS tornado watch, especially given it was south of where the best overlap of ingredients seemed to be and even south of the moderate risk which was for the higher tornado probs. I wonder if the lack of upper-level forcing was a big culprit in this...those situations are always a challenge because too much forcing (or too strong) and you'll have convection developing all over the place making it difficult for convection to become mature enough and utilize the environment fully. Probably should throw in capping too...that EML may have been a bit too strong (coincident with the weaker forcing). This may have been a huge issue even in Missouri...many of those cells were really trying to take off but something was impeding those updrafts from really taking off. 

Too much AM convection likely the culprit.  That can be overcome though it conditions are ideal, like April 27, 2011, but so often it mucks up the low-levels,

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Second big bust this year 

Scott would rather have this!  As in bring out the BIG GUNS!

 

[Layman]

17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

What the hell is that RAMBLING BS in the prior post?  Holy smokes what utter nonsense. 

Give him a pass.  Those early morning garbage trains stacking up nearby can really do a number on a guy!

[Ginx snewx]

Top ten day Arctic blue sky

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Layman said:

Give him a pass.  Those early morning garbage trains stacking up nearby can really do a number on a guy!

 Ok. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Top ten day Arctic blue sky

Yesterday was too…looks like two winners. 

[metagraphica]

41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

All these offices incurred staffing losses when we made 'merica fuckin' awesome agin'. 

I'm sure SPC, being under the NOAA umbrella, are in a similar situation where top-down imposed cuts erode their abilities?   That'd be my high confidence guess, considering there's been articles written about how staffing cuts lent to poorer hurricane this and that, too... It's a pervasive problem that we the mouth breathers, in order to form a more perfect union, had the audacity to believe would get us anywhere closer to that description. 

This facet of the times we are in ...hasn't gone away.   Yet we keep having these post where we are surprised this and that.  No ... we are not surprised.

What we all are is disconnected, in all aspects of the reality we create at a civilization level, from the consequences of our collective actions - apparently..

This can be easily proven.  Well, by this shit above... But it can be proven by the predicament of anthropomorphic -induce CC and the enabled, unabashed denialism ... which really is so detached from objective reality - well, put it this way, that same compos mentis voted a convicted felon to be president.  'Nough said.   It can be proven by everything in between.  

This is also part of the most probable Fermi Paradox explanation, "where is everyone" ( meaning civilizations in the cosmos).  Probably every advancing civilization in the universe hits this dilemma eventually.  Most fail the test. The rest of the missing likely related to the fact that a single light year's worth of physical distance is so vast it too greatly exceeds human capacity to dimensionalize just how far that is - viable worlds are separated by too many 10s to definitely too many thousands of them.  Try to imagine traveling at 183,000 miles in one second, for 4.5 years, in perpetuity - you really can't, and that's our nearest solar system neighbor. 

Civilizations innovate the ability to survive in this seemingly, universally constructed isolation...("agency" tongue-in-cheek), and that innovation then exceeds the background trials and tribulations of the pure biological-Darwinian requirement, -----> resting in relative affluence is unavoidable as Nature, including all life, abide the universal physical Law of Least Action. Such that the Law of Lessening Returns kicks in. Apathy and sloth take over.  This creates a nonchalance to morality and virtuosity, too.  This enabling to flout advice and act sort of recalcitrant to the objective reality and truth that our grand kids are less likely to survive ( ironically...), than we are, due to  ecological breakdowns that apparently have to fuckin' happen before the 90th percentile dipshits admit it...  won't be obvious until we all see them dropping dead. 

Basically ... culminating in a veritable carelessness with dad's species gun scenario. 

That'd be a cool scene in a sci fi cinema, whence interstellar aliens happen by our solar neighborhood and detect a world with bio-markers... so, they come check it out. What they find makes Shelley's "Ozymandia" the best metaphor to describe. 

As someone who understands the science - John, slow down, take a breath and write more concisely. You might find a wider audience.  Either that or stop hitting the bong so early in the morning. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I know the guy from Scituate showed those trees, but leaf out processing nicely here. Need to mow.

Ya, that looked like a picture from March..??  He must be in a very cold pocket there of late.  I know that area sucks this time of year with severe marine taint..but wow that area looks way behind most. 

[CoastalWx]

She blinded Tip, with science!!

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, metagraphica said:

As someone who understands the science - John, slow down, take a breath and write more concisely. You might find a wider audience.  Either that or stop hitting the bong so early in the morning. 

I think He’s hanging out with Cheach and Chong… 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya, that looked like a picture from March..??  He must be in a very cold pocket there of late.  I know that area sucks this time of year with severe marine taint..but wow that area looks way behind most. 

They radiate too. My parents are about 4 miles inland, actually more inland than I am and they’re always behind me too.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

She blinded Tip, with science!!

“Good heavens Miss Quasimodo…you’re beautiful!”     Great Tune. 

[Typhoon Tip]

https://theonion.com/report-every-place-on-earth-has-wrong-amount-of-water-1851544516/

[weatherwiz]

24 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Too much AM convection likely the culprit.  That can be overcome though it conditions are ideal, like April 27, 2011, but so often is mucks up the low-levels,

Good point. There might not have been that much of a recovery time, despite the evolving environment. 

[vortex95]

21 minutes ago, Layman said:

Give him a pass.  Those early morning garbage trains stacking up nearby can really do a number on a guy!

 

[Typhoon Tip]

40 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

As someone who understands the science - John, slow down, take a breath and write more concisely. You might find a wider audience.  Either that or stop hitting the bong so early in the morning. 

Yeah, good point.  In order to trigger MAGAt republicans, the one dimensional linear thought progression is a much more effective management tool 

hav to rite in littel wurds

[tamarack]

72/30 yesterday, back down to 30 this morning and cloudless.  The best of mid-spring.

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks like the operational model versions are trying to keep the circulation more progressive through this weekend. 

Prior thinking was -NAO type back-logs would risk stalling rhea wheels in the region or close enough to shut down a 1/2 month's worth of outdoor life. 

If we end up with lows getting N of us though, event if it's BN ... west wind is at least interludes where it's better. 

[vortex95]

In the spirit of ACATT, some infographic "PT" material for his edification!  LOL.

https://x.com/sambrandt99/status/2026382119207923774

"There was much discussion about subsidence zones on the colder (WNW) side of snowbands during the recent [Feb] blizzard. But you may still be wondering "why does it occur on that side of the band specifically?" Well, the answer has to do with the dynamics of frontogenesis"

[amarshall]

Top ten day Arctic blue sky

Flew into Logan. Unbelievable visibility

[40/70 Benchmark]

27 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

In the spirit of ACATT, some infographic "PT" material for his edification!  LOL.

https://x.com/sambrandt99/status/2026382119207923774

"There was much discussion about subsidence zones on the colder (WNW) side of snowbands during the recent [Feb] blizzard. But you may still be wondering "why does it occur on that side of the band specifically?" Well, the answer has to do with the dynamics of frontogenesis"

I wonder what CoastalWx thinks of this!!?

[The 4 Seasons]

It's about time to call it for the season. If anyone has any final seasonal snowfall totals for their area let me know either PM or tag me. I'll be putting together a final seasonal map over the next week. 

There were 3 light events since the last update on March 2nd (and possibly a couple very minor events that didn't require a map). If i don't hear from everyone who replied on March 2nd ill do my best to add them together. 

You can find all the snowfall maps for all the areas for the 25-26 season here. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

It's about time to call it for the season. If anyone has any final seasonal snowfall totals for their area let me know either PM or tag me. I'll be putting together a final seasonal map over the next week. 

There were 3 light events since the last update on March 2nd (and possibly a couple very minor events that didn't require a map). If i don't hear from everyone who replied on March 2nd ill do my best to add them together. 

You can find all the snowfall maps for all the areas for the 25-26 season here. 

Yea, I am starting the post-season analysis next week. 

71.75" in Methuen (see sig)

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I am starting the post-season analysis next week. 

71.75" in Methuen (see sig)

Isn't that above average ?

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Isn't that above average ?

Yes...first above average season since 2017-2018.

[OrangeCTWX]

Clouds have arrived.  Was a real nice day prior though. 65F