2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[Kmlwx]

10 minutes ago, canderson said:

SPC basically said C MD on south to the piedmonts will be upgraded a level 4 risk. 

You mean in the discussion or did you hear something more specific? I didn't read it that way - it sounded more like they will continue to watch guidance and see what instability looks like. 

[WxWatcher007]

This one…has legs?

[Nomz]

https://x.com/JBuchinskyWX/status/2032850219423916255

[canderson]

1 hour ago, Kmlwx said:

You mean in the discussion or did you hear something more specific? I didn't read it that way - it sounded more like they will continue to watch guidance and see what instability looks like. 

The disco is very bullish and if they mention it they likely go that way. 

[09-10 analogy]

45 minutes ago, Nomz said:

https://x.com/JBuchinskyWX/status/2032850219423916255

Yeah he cites the mid-April 2011 NC outbreak, which tends to get overlooked because of what happened later in that month, but it was substantial. I'm pretty sure we got at least TOR watches in the DC area, and of course there was a HIGH risk in NC. I think we were MOD locally.

[yoda]

22 minutes ago, 09-10 analogy said:

Yeah he cites the mid-April 2011 NC outbreak, which tends to get overlooked because of what happened later in that month, but it was substantial. I'm pretty sure we got at least TOR watches in the DC area, and of course there was a HIGH risk in NC. I think we were MOD locally.

There was a high risk that day in NC... mod risk was south of the LWX CWA looks like

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20110416

 

[Nomz]

Just now, yoda said:

There was no high risk that day

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20110416

 

[yoda]

You beat me to my edit lol.  I only went by the main page which showed mdt

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/