Imgoinhungry Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 I'll take 0.5"Snow tv. Nothing will stick, i think. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 WB 18Z 3K NAM: snow is Monday afternoon. Freezing rain overnight Monday/ Tuesday am. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Those of us north of DC got HRRR'ed for Monday afternoon. Notable shift north for the NAMs as well..... 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Those of us north of DC got HRRR'ed for Monday afternoon. Notable shift north for the NAMs as well.....Early dismissals coming for schools?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 3 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Early dismissals coming for schools? . Ehh....its bound to happen but roads should be fine during daylight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 27 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Snow tv. Nothing will stick, i think. . Yup, white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Ehh....its bound to happen but roads should be fine during daylight hours.I agree. But districts love to overreact. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 I’ve been sorta NAM’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 GFS shifted north, and I've just been GFS'd 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 4 minutes ago, bncho said: GFS shifted north, and I've just been GFS'd Keep on coming north lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 WB 18Z RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 We back! 4 6 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We back! Have not looked at this thread in 2 days and this is the most recent post! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Will this impact pm commute Monday and am commute on Tuesday? Or mostly a nothing burger?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 2 hours ago, Imgoinhungry said: Snow tv. Nothing will stick, i think. . 36 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Will this impact pm commute Monday and am commute on Tuesday? Or mostly a nothing burger? . You answered your own question earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 You answered your own question earlier todayYea, but that is before I saw the gfs come north. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 euro! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 euro!Nice improvement from 12z. Seeing a wetter trend for sure. Also norther. Could be a “congrats Parkton” if it continues but it’s been a while so that’s okay. Would appreciate any and all snow TV on tap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Nice improvement from 12z. Seeing a wetter trend for sure. Also norther. Could be a “congrats Parkton” if it continues but it’s been a while so that’s okay. Would appreciate any and all snow TV on tap Definitely beefed up nicely vs previous runs. Ai had been a lot more bullish for a while. I’d love to sneak into 1-2” even if Winchester east got a Jack. Maybe tonight’s runs will keep the juicing going. wonder if the RAP is juiced up? lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Nice improvement from 12z. Seeing a wetter trend for sure. Also norther. Could be a “congrats Parkton” if it continues but it’s been a while so that’s okay. Would appreciate any and all snow TV on tap Just looked at the 18z euro and gfs AI suite, both are a bit north and more juicy than 12z and that seems to be the trend the last several cycles. I could see this providing a last minute surprise especially in the higher elevations. The rain a few days ago ended up a lot more substantial than models had it and the qpf axis ended up 50-75 miles north of the modeling from the night before. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 We’ll see lol. Took the initial band a little north but essentially a copy/paste of 18z as the final result. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2 Author Share Posted March 2 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: We’ll see lol. Took the initial band a little north but essentially a copy/paste of 18z as the final result. the question is --does it snow after the wave 1 pause or does it start as zr/sleet. HRRR and GFS say snow. The NAMs and euro say zr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Latest HRRR is colder with snow in NW zones for round 2 that comes in early Tuesday am. WB 0Z HRRR 2am Tuesday compared to 18Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Dews dropping dramatically north filtering south . Something is afoot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDSnow93 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: We’ll see lol. Took the initial band a little north but essentially a copy/paste of 18z as the final result. I would take that in MoCo all day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poprock49 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 12k NAM looks solid, better than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 While a messy Tuesday morning rush hour has been in the cards for a while now, I'm becoming increasingly intrigued by the Monday afternoon snow event. My question is what the road temps will be like Monday after a couple of warmer days but a cold night. The NAMs and HiResW FV3 suggest that temps will only barely go above freezing tomorrow before arriving snow cools it back a few degrees. It's still tough to imagine messy roads during the daytime, but maybe if it comes down hard enough? Ultimately, it's *probably* just going to whiten grassy surfaces until you get further west and northwest, but the Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning period will be a nice reminder of winter before the big warmup. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Despite this being advertised here as N and W thing, i think we all get in on some snow TV at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Since this is kind of a joke event, why not randomly post the ARW control. We can dream! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 In all seriousness, my one takeaway from the early mostly-joke mesos is that they try to be snow with that second portion at the start. That would be a good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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