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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.


Ginx snewx
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5 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

 

Eg. 01z NBM hourly rates accurately depicts the intense rates in Delaware, but then pivots the best fronto to south coast by 5AM, and crushes eastern/southeastern MA 7a-1m

I think that transfer has begun. The band coming over Nantucket is more robust and continuous than what has been before. The band over jersey and Delaware is significantly weaker than hours ago.

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mcd0116.png.1d438fec8c5a58615dc03dcfa6882765.png

   Mesoscale Discussion 0116
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1145 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

   Areas affected...New York City Vicinity into southern New England

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 230545Z - 231045Z

   SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snowfall will continue from the NYC
   Metro vicinity into southern New England. Snowfall rates of 1-2
   inches per hour are likely with localized 2+ inches per hour
   possible. Greater rates will spread north with time. Blizzard
   conditions will also become more prevalent, particularly near the
   coast.

   DISCUSSION...Over the past 5 hours, the surface cyclone off the
   Mid-Atlantic coast has deepened approximately 9 mb per objective
   analysis. Bands of moderate to heavy snow continue to pivot into the
   NYC metro vicinity as well as southern New England. Moderate snow
   observations are beginning to occur into Massachusetts. As the upper
   trough continues to intensify and become more negatively tilted, the
   surface cyclone will deepen further into Monday morning. A long
   duration of at least moderate snowfall can be expected. Closer to
   4-7 AM EST, a zone of very favorable ascent is expected to set up
   over southern New England. Snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are
   likely along with the potential for localized 2+ inches per hour.
   Greater snowfall rates will also gradually shift northward as the
   system slowly lifts northeastward.

   Beyond significant snowfall rates, surface winds have already begun
   to increase from the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England. Current
   observations show winds gusting into the mid 30s to low 40s kts in
   Long Island. This trend should continue over the next several hours.
   Blizzard conditions will remain more likely near the coast, but
   inland areas will become increasingly impacted by strong winds and
   reduced visibility later this morning.

   ..Wendt.. 02/23/2026
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11 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Commiserating for you that an all-timer is uncertain, but I don't think it's all lost yet.

Eg. 01z NBM hourly rates accurately depicts the intense rates in Delaware, but then pivots the best fronto to south coast by 5AM, and crushes eastern/southeastern MA 7a-1p

Are you staying in Chestnut Hill? Really picked up here in Brookline in past 30 min, moderate and roads covered

Yeah I mentioned that a bit ago-suddenly it’s snowing and blowing.  I’m staying at our house in CH and booked to return Tuesday.  Then we’re coming back for good Monday 3/2.  All of my stuff is down there and it will be nice to warm back up before the last weeks of tracking when we return.  
 

Hoping the bands coming in consolidate better!

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https://www.weather.gov/box/winter  

 

I have 2"  

The UPDATED NWS Only brought my Official Number down a tiny bit from 24 to 21.  

The 10% High End STILL Has me in the 30"-36" Range.  

But if that's not Enough to show how out to lunch they are, They have 7"-8" on the Southern CT Coast for the 10% Lower Possibility.  THAT Area ALREADY HAS 7"-10"!?  My GOD.  

I LOVE the NWS.  Always have.  But this is the THRID Storm in the past few years where I sit here Completely Dumbfounded at the NWS on a Major Storm.  

 

 

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2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

A little over 9 inches. Though it’s getting tough to measure with the winds picking up. I should go to sleep but it’s so hard to during these overnight storms lol

Was just about to go to sleep but then I took a look at the radar. Man that stuff near Suffolk moving NW looks sick. 

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13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's see what the Euro says  by 1am sn10_006h-imp.us_ne.thumb.png.9a64f670beb6bde24c6710de942d8ced.pngadd 6 more hrs828836775_sn10_006h-imp.us_ne(2).thumb.png.e8d03642abfc16f2ab53247665111169.pngadd 6 more1629570873_sn10_006h-imp.us_ne(3).thumb.png.4607bd7777a03d6601619a3c2a84a9c3.png

This is what we end up with by 8 tomorrow night that is 10 to 1 too. Ratios already coming up 480259117_sn10_acc-imp.us_ne(11).thumb.png.5405eec98e0b37b3f9c2ac563b01eeed.png

Hey Ginx. Here’s the problem with the euro. Central Park got 7” between 0z and 5z (that has 10.5” total). It’s already badly off.

Don’t know what that holds area wide, but I would toss it. 

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It boggles my mind how all these guys live and die with the models on a daily basis yet when there's a huge event in the middle of the night they sleep like babies!

Closing in on 5 inches here in Newport but the intensity so far has been disappointing. 

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