Tatamy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Light rain has started to change to snow 35F I’m observing that as well. My temp has also dropped to 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Temp is slowly dropping, from a high of 39F down to 37.6 now. 0.13" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Light rain a few flakes mixed in from time to time 38f Just fell to 37f drop has begun. Winds picking up noticeably at this time gusting 25 mph+ rain total: 0.11” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Fwiw the the model with the highest grades is still all in for 1-1.50" qpf in this region JMA into the breach 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 36 minutes ago, Jersey_Snowhole said: Wow insane rate on 3k nam Talk to me goose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 My aura when waiting for rain to change to snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 NWS updated warning amounts. 7-14” Lehigh Valley kept blizzard warnings in bucks and PHI for 14-20” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 All snow here now. It’s go time! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 19 minutes ago, LVLion77 said: I do not think it is unreasonable to be highly skeptical of the NWS forecast for the Lehigh Valley. 10-20” is wishcasting. 4-8” is much more reasonable in my opinion. They’re in a tough spot as the models have been all over the place. They use the NBM which is a weighted model containing most all of the other models outputs ( It’s like a mean of the other model projections). Because of how it works there is a delay in terms of it not recognizing the newest data. Incidentally your number seems reasonable to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, Tatamy said: They’re in a tough spot as the models have been all over the place. They use the NBM which is a weighted model containing most all of the other models outputs ( It’s like a mean of the other model projections). Because of how it works there is a delay in terms of it not recognizing the newest data. Incidentally your number seems reasonable to me. Yeah I do not envy them. Newest RAP is still wanting to throw 1.5”+ QPF into PHI… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Snow mixing in now that rates have picked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaswx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Wet snow mixing in in Montgomeryville 500’ el. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 My fault on that just seeing this thing blow east at the last second just absolutely sucked 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Interestingly the temp just spiked here in Ivyland to 39F. Parents reporting snow in Cape May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Interestingly the temp just spiked here in Ivyland to 39F. Parents reporting snow in Cape May. Same here. I expected this but still get anxious waiting for the changeover every time haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I’d take this in a heartbeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I have dropped from 36.8 to 35.1 and have wet snow flakes again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Heavy accumulating snow Cape May 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 They’re in a tough spot as the models have been all over the place. They use the NBM which is a weighted model containing most all of the other models outputs ( It’s like a mean of the other model projections). Because of how it works there is a delay in terms of it not recognizing the newest data. Incidentally your number seems reasonable to me.I think you being further east would be closer to 8” in Tatamy and I would be closer to 4” in Macungie. There is a “that’s what she said” joke somewhere in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Looking at future radar returns it’s pretty intense. It’s only AccuWeather radar, but there’s some heavy DBZ’s happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21chuck Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Heavy rain to heavy snow transition really blossoming to our south now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Why the differences between event total and expected snowfall? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pl0k00n111 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Sign me up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, RedSky said: Why the differences between event total and expected snowfall? More snow Tuesday night 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kickingupastorm Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 And it has begun! Although I’m at my parents’ house for this one out around Norristown instead of Ardmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Wildwood Beach Cam is absolutely insane attm BTW 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Snow globe down the shore in SIC with stickage at 34 degrees 2026-02-22_13-56-28.mp4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BroadWing3544 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Still no changeover, but wind really started kicking up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Snowing in Jamison Pa Edit: maybe not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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