Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS

[Tatamy]

7 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Light rain has started to change to snow

35F

 

I’m observing that as well.  My temp has also dropped to 35.

[BBasile]

Temp is slowly dropping, from a high of 39F down to 37.6 now.  0.13" of rain.  

[Kevin Reilly]

Light rain a few flakes mixed in from time to time 38f

Just fell to 37f drop has begun.

Winds picking up noticeably at this time gusting 25 mph+ 

rain total: 0.11”

 

[RedSky]

Fwiw the the model with the highest grades is still all in for 1-1.50" qpf in this region 

JMA into the breach

 

[Violentweatherfan]

36 minutes ago, Jersey_Snowhole said:

Wow insane rate on 3k nam 

Talk to me goose

[NJHurricane]

My aura when waiting for rain to change to snow 

 

[Lucy Pull]

NWS updated warning amounts. 
 

7-14” Lehigh Valley

kept blizzard warnings in bucks and PHI for 14-20”

[coastal front]

All snow here now. It’s go time! 

[Tatamy]

19 minutes ago, LVLion77 said:

I do not think it is unreasonable to be highly skeptical of the NWS forecast for the Lehigh Valley. 10-20” is wishcasting. 4-8” is much more reasonable in my opinion.

They’re in a tough spot as the models have been all over the place.  They use the NBM which is a weighted model containing most all of the other models outputs ( It’s like a mean of the other model projections). Because of how it works there is a delay in terms of it not recognizing the newest data.  Incidentally your number seems reasonable to me.

[Lucy Pull]

3 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

They’re in a tough spot as the models have been all over the place.  They use the NBM which is a weighted model containing most all of the other models outputs ( It’s like a mean of the other model projections). Because of how it works there is a delay in terms of it not recognizing the newest data.  Incidentally your number seems reasonable to me.

Yeah I do not envy them. Newest RAP is still wanting to throw 1.5”+ QPF into PHI…

[JTA66]

Snow mixing in now that rates have picked up.

[jaswx]

Wet snow mixing in in Montgomeryville 500’ el


.

[Duca892]

My fault on that just seeing this thing blow east at the last second just absolutely sucked 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Interestingly the temp just spiked here in Ivyland to 39F. Parents reporting snow in Cape May.

[Blue Dream]

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Interestingly the temp just spiked here in Ivyland to 39F. Parents reporting snow in Cape May.

Same here. I expected this but still get anxious waiting for the changeover every time haha. 

[Lucy Pull]

I’d take this in a heartbeat 

[LVLion77]

I have dropped from 36.8 to 35.1 and have wet snow flakes again.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Heavy accumulating snow Cape May

[LVLion77]

They’re in a tough spot as the models have been all over the place.  They use the NBM which is a weighted model containing most all of the other models outputs ( It’s like a mean of the other model projections). Because of how it works there is a delay in terms of it not recognizing the newest data.  Incidentally your number seems reasonable to me.

I think you being further east would be closer to 8” in Tatamy and I would be closer to 4” in Macungie. There is a “that’s what she said” joke somewhere in there.

[Violentweatherfan]

Looking at future radar returns it’s pretty intense. It’s only AccuWeather radar, but there’s some heavy DBZ’s happening.

[21chuck]

Heavy rain to heavy snow transition really blossoming to our south now. 

[ChescoWx]

[RedSky]

Why the differences between event total and expected snowfall?

[pl0k00n111]

Sign me up!

[ChescoWx]

Just now, RedSky said:

Why the differences between event total and expected snowfall?

More snow Tuesday night

[kickingupastorm]

And it has begun!

Although I’m at my parents’ house for this one out around Norristown instead of Ardmore.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Wildwood Beach Cam is absolutely insane attm BTW

 

[ChescoWx]

Snow globe down the shore in SIC with stickage at 34 degrees

[BroadWing3544]

Still no changeover, but wind really started kicking up here.  

[Violentweatherfan]

Snowing in Jamison Pa 

 

Edit: maybe not