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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread


Maestrobjwa
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Hrm...Was reading in the technical thread that all the improvements in snowfall we've seen on the Euro this evening have been from the IVT. Gotta wonder if that's giving a bit of a hallucination of things trending towards the GFS? (Especially given the 0z appears to be a hold from 18z)

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1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

Just a few runs ago, that piece wasn’t really as much of a player, right? 
 

I only really resumed looking at this this afternoon, but I know there’s some differences in evolution there. It wouldn’t be too much weenie casting to say as this new feature gets a little better forecasted/sampled, we might get a little better clarity. 

Cut-Off's (especially decaying ones) suck to forecast man...:arrowhead:

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Problem for the cities is surface 

DC is 38 degrees at 4 pm sunday.  Doesn't get to 32 until midnight  

It's gotta be ripping to force dynamic cooling

Even then I could see the lowlands get "3-6 mostly on grassy surfaces" that actually yields 1.25" on a trash can 

 

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1 minute ago, balltermen said:

Problem for the cities is surface 

DC is 38 degrees at 4 pm sunday.  Doesn't get to 32 until midnight  

It's gotta be ripping to force dynamic cooling

Even then I could see the lowlands get "3-6 mostly on grassy surfaces" that actually yields 1.25" on a trash can 

 

Doesn’t look like a problem for me. 

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