LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: NAM is better for the coastal fans but worse for the people who want to bet on the H5 pass to get snow The Norlun was post 84 with the closed h5 low going across the Va/nc border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 VERY early on the ICON (18hrs) but the Alberta vort looks a bit better oriented and the southern wave is more west and a bit deeper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 53 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Where do I sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: So, not quite Groucho level but getting close??? Ohhh no we need four more positive Euro suites before we get to TWO raised eyebrows... 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 southern stream much slower on the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 My heart swells with jingoistic pride when I watch the underdog AMERICAN GFS model somehow prevail, against all odds. While we await its latest nugget of wisdom, please enjoy this song 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NAM gets snow back into dc HOUR 84 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Ohhh no we need for more positive Euro suites before we get to TWO raised eyebrows... I've got a piano recital on Tuesday, I'm gonna do Chopin Op. 28 No 4. Hoping to be snowed in instead. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Differences obvious. Gfs connects these waves as one smoothed out shortwave, nam doesn’t and the trailer one ends up almost acting as a kicker. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Like the early on shifts on the Rgem with our NS sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 It’s close. Good news is most models trending toward GFS and not other way around 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, paulythegun said: My heart swells with jingoistic pride when I watch the underdog AMERICAN GFS model somehow prevail, against all odds. While we await its latest nugget of wisdom, please enjoy this song Holllld your American horses there we don't know that yet, haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Heisy said: Differences obvious. Gfs connects these waves as one smoothed out shortwave, nam doesn’t and the trailer one ends up almost acting as a kicker. I was thinking that too. So.much separation between the waves heights actually rise in front of the trailing wave. I suppose that helps with the positive vorticity advection aspect but the full phase and capture is not on the 0z nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Holllld your American horses there we don't know that yet, haha 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I was thinking that too. So.much separation between the waves heights actually rise in front of the trailing wave. I suppose that helps with the positive vorticity advection aspect but the full phase and capture is not on the 0z nam. Go big or go home. Gimme the 24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 ICON seems to look a lottle better at the surface to my novice eye... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Really liking both Icon and Rgem at h5. Good trends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Fv3 at 60 isnt as diggy with the lead shortwave so the trailing one has more of a chance to catch it and phase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: ICON seems to look a lottle better at the surface to my novice eye... Is a lottle more than a little? Like a 'lot' better? 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Remember the ICON led the way a few days ago with showing a blizzard? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Remember the ICON led the way a few days ago with showing a blizzard? I’ll never give the icon credit for a single blind run and then wavering. If the gfs scores a coup, it was at least invested. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 ICON is trying. Can't reel in the surface low this time (unless it somehow gets it from frame 72->78) but brought it much closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Wx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I fully expect this middle ground most models seem to be trending to will be similar to the ultimate outcome here, but that doesn't mean I'm not having a blast watching the GFS do its thang. Even if it caves at 0Z, this has been hella fun, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Rgem going to be real close… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 RGEM is intriguing... I don't know if it will get there but it is definitely gonna try. Looks eager to turn the corner. But may end up in the ICON ballpark, idk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, TowsonWeather said: I fully expect this middle ground most models seem to be trending to will be similar to the ultimate outcome here, but that doesn't mean I'm not having a blast watching the GFS do its thang. Even if it caves at 0Z, this has been hella fun, lol. These weather models we have at our disposal are an excellent storyteller. It's almost like they knew they couldn't fully cave one way or another at 18z and had to have us on deck for this 0z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 RRFS-A here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Is a lottle more than a little? Like a 'lot' better? New word for the forum, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 RGEM is perplexing. I feel like the surface SHOULD be further west with that look? Better h5 look than the ICON I think. But it's further east. Idk. I really like the h5 changes. Just perplexing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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