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SWFE. Feb 20-21. Good BETTER Best


HoarfrostHubb
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5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What might it be .. more sleet? Hammer thought yesterday a lot of zr 

Looks like some snow to sleet and then freezing rain, but I don’t think a ton of precip is ZR there. You’ll likely glaze for sure but temps aren’t that cold. Maybe 31 there?

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like some snow to sleet and then freezing rain, but I don’t think a ton of precip is ZR there. You’ll likely glaze for sure but temps aren’t that cold. Maybe 31 there?

I’d be very happy with all of that for pack reasons. Then flip back to snow for a few more into Saturday 

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27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Be careful with NAM QPF....ride it for thermals here, but proceed with caution concerning QPF output.

I have a basic understanding of that. I just see that it’s bumped up a little bit but we’ve been consistent with .5 to .7 for three days so seeing the nam makes me be very confident in 4 to 8. And this kind of scenario is a 4 to 8 or 6 to 10 kind of scenario I think.

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10 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I have a basic understanding of that. I just see that it’s bumped up a little bit but we’ve been consistent with .5 to .7 for three days so seeing the nam makes me be very confident in 4 to 8. And this kind of scenario is a 4 to 8 or 6 to 10 kind of scenario I think.

Pretty much everything is in the 0.5-.7" range. 6z 12k nam was probably the driest of the 6z models, but 3k was solid. 

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1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I might be a little more bullish in northern CT. Minor in the whole scheme of things but timing leads to impacts in the PM commute. 

did you have a map/call for yesteryda? i felt like i was very conservative from what i saw out there and was too high

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3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

did you have a map/call for yesteryda? i felt like i was very conservative from what i saw out there and was too high

No map but I went with a T-2” at best with the best chance of accumulation in the towns that border MA. Even that was too much. :lol: 

Yesterday really went to crap on the models. 

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