Typhoon Tip Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That isn't what I would consider full commitment.... I wouldn’t focus on the QPF That 500 mill bar combined with that surface there’s no way that thing isn’t causing major major snow problems, clear to Fitchburg 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I wouldn’t focus on the QPF That 500 mill bar combined with that surface there’s no way that thing isn’t causing major major snow problems, clear to Fitchburg Yea, I'm just being neurotic. I was mentally resigning, and now have a foot back in and vulnerable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 You'll know this is legit when folks start to worry about a mix line..............lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I remember the 1 euro run for a day and we didn’t have QPF Me too. 24 hour interval polygon sharp lines and mslp only. Almost useless. It's kinda like how we have the JMA now. I remember looking at Feb 2006 and being like oh that's a blizzard that's nice and moved on back to the NCEP site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Me too. 24 hour interval polygon sharp lines and mslp only. Almost useless. It's kinda like how we have the JMA now. I remember looking at Feb 2006 and being like oh that's a blizzard that's nice and moved on back to the NCEP site. JMA did that today, too....20 year redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Oh boy the change from 18z to 0zSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 I know that one was earlier....I remember it was just before V DAY because I didn't want to go out with my ex because I was glued to models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 (12) john jackson on X: "Lake Tahoe. Ho-lee sht. https://t.co/bQIJPtx2AK" / X 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: You'll know this is legit when folks start to worry about a mix line..............lol "Congrats, Dendrite".... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: "Congrats, Dendrite".... That one too, Although that works here in most cases as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 46 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What are your thoughts? Honestly I don’t have a feeling. Need 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, CoastalWx said: Honestly I don’t have a feeling. Need 00z. Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Shift west on the NammerSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Honestly I don’t have a feeling. Need detox. 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Beer? Sounds that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sounds that way Unfortunately no 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Nammer is still south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 My biggest worry is that this matures way south and scoots ENE. So all these calls about models being west aren’t going to mean shit because of this setup. This needs to mature off the Delmarva and move NE and not blow over Wallopw Island. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, Masswx said: Nammer is still south Huge jump nw though and it’s nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: My biggest worry is that this matures way south and scoots ENE. So all these calls about models being west aren’t going to mean shit because of this setup. This needs to mature off the Delmarva and move NE and not blow over Wallopw Island. I feel good about it maturing later than some of those wild runs...EURO AI reflected that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Huge jump nw though and it’s nam. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NAM is a bit east of the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 That trailing energy still punts the low out to sea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 It’s definitely better, but getting into a range where you need good moves, not baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Pretty good agreement between the NAM/EURO/GFS, which still isn't good enough for most. Need one more nudge, but it shoots ENE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 84hr nam…take a shot 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Never like the ENE track, Its always on my mind, Need this to go more NNE as it gains lat and mature further north too for something more substantial, But the Nam at least didn't totally fumble the ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: But that’s my point . Before these past few winters . Most everyone would buy into this being real. You can tell other than a handful, most do not and are expecting 00z to go back to a light snowfall Yeah, the Euro this close in making that kind of move is a huge deal. I didn’t like how consistent it was with an eastern solution, this re opens the door for a bigger hit than a coastal scraper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 NAM was weird at h500. Like the kicker was almost a phaser. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Never like the ENE track, Its always on my mind, Need this to go more NNE as it gains lat and mature further north too for something more substantial, But the Nam at least didn't fumble the ball. I don't think the rate of maturation is a huge issue in these latest iterations....it's just getting booted ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20 Share Posted February 20 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think the rate of maturation is a huge issue in these later iterations....it's just getting booted ENE. It always comes down to where it gets kicked ENE, I just don't like these systems in general that form off the Carolinas, To many things to go wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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