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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
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14 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Its crazy to start seeing the differences from south to north. Northern parts of nyc are already over an inch, Southern parts just starting to get coatings down. This snow isnt wet anymore,its fluffy stuff now. 29/28f moderate to hvy snow currently.

Yep although in this case southern parts of the city will get more snow in the end barring some weird banding. 

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always a tradition with the early bust calls

The snow literally started sticking 2-3 hours before any reasonably informed poster in this thread expected. We're in good shape.


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Yeah this is not the heavy wet snow I was anticipating. Is it just really cold up in the atmosphere?
Very high moisture content/QPF going into the snow doesn't necessarily yield very heavy wet snow. While the surface temps started off mild and above freezing, the rest of the profile isn't marginally cold. To get the really gloppy heavy wet snow you need surface temps near to even above 32, and a deep isothermal layer near freezing above it, which creates snowfall aggregates (clumps of snowflakes, almost like mini snowballs).

This will be a dense snow and tough to shovel but still prone to blowing and drifting. The snow will get fluffier with time as colder air moves in and exacerbate the blowing and drifting into tomorrow morning, as that snow will be easily transported atop the denser snow below it.

Edit: The very well written OKX AFD mentions initial 10:1 ratios (about climo for your area) improving to 12-14:1 with time, which seems reasonable. You'll probably have an effective ratio higher than 14:1 wherever the f-gen death band sets up.

The heavy wet snow you may have been anticipating generally entails ratios as low as 5-8:1.



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1 minute ago, TriPol said:

I've never actually heard of someone saying the snow isn't wet enough. SMH.

I was saying this too,although everybody kept saying heavy wet snow,rn its not that. Thats what we mean when we say that. Its busting in a good way,so no complaints here.

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2/22 18z HRDPS (HRDPS = High-Resolution Deterministic Prediction System)
Convection-allowing (~2.5 km) regional model
Snow

sn10_acc-imp.us_ma.png

Caving... just a wee bit late


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5 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Consistency? Dude, we've barely gotten an inch or two. Leave your opinions on the storm for 12 pm tomorrow. It's depressing how negative people are. 

What are you even on about? I'm saying the snow is light and fluffy where I thought it would be wet snow because it's not that cold. Calm down, holy crap. Consistency of the snowflakes. Take a break.

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3 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Very high moisture content/QPF going into the snow doesn't necessarily yield very heavy wet snow. While the surface temps started off mild and above freezing, the rest of the profile isn't marginally cold. To get the really gloppy heavy wet snow you need surface temps near to even above 32, and a deep isothermal layer near freezing, which creates snowfall aggregates (clumps of snowflakes, almost like mini snowballs).

This will be a dense snow and tough to shovel but still prone to blowing and drifting. The snow will get fluffier with time as colder air moves in and exacerbate the blowing and drifting into tomorrow morning, as that snow will be easily transported atop the denser snow below it.

Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk
 

Thank you for understanding and explaining instead of biting my head off for no reason. 

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