The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

[Snowman92]

Working in Brooklyn right now. Light rain started

[allgame830]

17 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Crazy to see when the non US models have a 10 to 14 inch storm, someone is going to have an epic bust come tomorrow afternoon

For the 1000% time the non us models are GLOBALS!! Stop using them at this point. Also they are way to dry in this situation, imagine a sub 970 at the benchmark and only 1” QPF gimme a break! Also the globals move the storm along faster as opposed to the mesos! Seriously just sit back and watch this beast unfold this afternoon, you and @snowman19 must be from the same mold! 

[allgame830]

9 minutes ago, RKO36 said:

It has begun.  Stepped out of Shop Rite at 6AM to a light rain/frozen rain.

You work at a ShopRite? Or was one of the first shoppers this morning lol

[sussexcountyobs]

Steady light snow. Already sticking to roads. Not yet sticking on Rt. 23 in Stockholm though.

[SnoSki14]

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models picking up on the insane western cutoff ala boxing day. 

It'll be there but the caveat is an inverted trough will be in place which could enhance totals on the western flank and lead to much less sharper cutoffs than we'd normally see. 

In addition I expect the strongest banding to be NW of where models have them as is almost always thr case. 

[nycsnow]

[nycsnow]

[allgame830]

Just now, nycsnow said:

I’m guessing that looks spot on to what we want to see am I correct? 

[nycsnow]

2 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

I’m guessing that looks spot on to what we want to see am I correct? 

Yea matches most models so far 

[nycsnow]

Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east 

[allgame830]

Not a fan of obs threads but it’s find whatever everyone wants to do… but problem is there will B a lot of jumping back and forth. 

[Mail Man]

Just now, nycsnow said:

Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east 

You have to expect the models to come back down to earth a bit. After those insane runs

[snowman19]

20 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

For the 1000% time the non us models are GLOBALS!! Stop using them at this point. Also they are way to dry in this situation, imagine a sub 970 at the benchmark and only 1” QPF gimme a break! Also the globals move the storm along faster as opposed to the mesos! Seriously just sit back and watch this beast unfold this afternoon, you and @snowman19 must be from the same mold! 

The RGEM is not a global model and the new SREF has started to back off. A red flag that the NAM is way too amped and will back down on the 12z run

[weatherpruf]

43 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Can’t remember the last time I read this from the NWS for our area 

 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
509 AM EST Sun Feb 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Potentially historic winter storm to impact the region through 
Monday. Confidence is high for very heavy, crippling snowfall to
impact the area. Areas of blizzard conditions likely.

To be fair, accuweather and WINS are sticking to a foot “give or take an inch” in the city and more on Long Island. A foot is not scary to people; we just had a foot… maybe they expect we lose a lot to rain… it is raining now in nj and a high of 38 coming. But there’s a disconnect. More people are gonna hear that than read the news. Both can’t be right.

[allgame830]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Sref coming in less amped so a little bit east 

That’s still textbook right there! 

[RKO36]

19 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

You work at a ShopRite? Or was one of the first shoppers this morning lol

24 hour Shop Rite in Old Bridge, NJ.  I wasn't going to shop yesterday and knew I had to get in early today before it gets super busy again.  

[allgame830]

Just now, snowman19 said:

The RGEM is not a global model

I’m aware and you will b wrong! 12” is the floor here. Bye for now 

[allgame830]

Just now, RKO36 said:

24 hour Shop Rite in Old Bridge, NJ.  I wasn't going to shop yesterday and knew I had to get in early today before it gets super busy again.  

Gotcha! Only asked bc I used to work at one in Westchester county NY like 5 miles from home. 

[nycsnow]

2 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

I’m aware and you will b wrong! 12” is the floor here. Bye for now 

HRDPS doesn’t even agree with the RGEM 

[Mail Man]

2 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

I’m aware and you will b wrong! 12” is the floor here. Bye for now 

He's trolling don't bother.

[Neblizzard]

3 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The RGEM is not a global model and the new SREF has started to back off. A red flag that the NAM is way too amped and will back down on the 12z run

We still get a foot and tour aka

 

4 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The RGEM is not a global model and the new SREF has started to back off. A red flag that the NAM is way too amped and will back down on the 12z run

Send us a twitter post from October with the raging La Niña. 

[nycsnow]

sref is still great for almost everyone, only really impacted the western cutoff, which was wild to begin with had double digits way upstate lol

 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Snowing here in the bronx. 

[Snowman92]

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

[LoboLeader1]

32F here with a snow/rain mix.

[snowman19]

7 minutes ago, Neblizzard said:

We still get a foot and tour aka

 

Send us a twitter post from October with the raging La Niña. 

Where did I say NYC isn’t getting a foot? The RGEM has a foot in the city. As far as what the NAM has been selling? Throw it in the trash, it’s going to start backing down and playing catch up. There’s a reason why the NAM/SREF are getting retired this year and it’s not because it’s good. The only thing it’s good for is warm nose events and that’s it. This is a classic NAM over amp and it’s going to bust horribly IMO

[ILoveWinter]

3 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

Not by much, this is early stuff. The NWS said things get going later this afternoon. 

[dmillz25]

3 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

Nah it won’t it’ll changeover quickly 

[Juturna]

3 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

Ah here we go, expecting a lot of these posts even when accumulating snow for some areas isn’t forecast until late afternoon/evening.

[CentralNJSnowman]

4 minutes ago, Snowman92 said:

Rain in Brooklyn. This will impact snow totals if rain keeps up

It really shouldn’t.  No accumulations forecasted till afternoon and not much till very late afternoon