EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 48 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: mirrors 1978 blizzard Somewhat however the blizzard of 78 almost touched LI. With will be farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Nice to see the euro finally waking up. A foot of snow on this run for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, dWave said: That's how these grocery stores must feel. People suddenly woke up to a blizzard warning this morning and pandemonium ensued, with little to no preparation for it. wife had to take the pups for rabies shots...there's a shop rite in the lot...holy hell.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Some places have exceptions for clearing of snow. Besides, the plows crushing my neighbors mailbox for the 4th time this winter is definitely louder than my snowblower. Why you even pay any attention to such a ridiculous ordinance in a blizzard?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said: Think you’ll do hard time? they couldn't prove it.....no time stamp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, Blizzardo said: my point and click!!!! holy.... Sunday Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 3pm. High near 37. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 31. Windy, with a north wind 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow, mainly before 1pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow between 9am and noon. High near 35. Windy, with a northwest wind 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. 16 to 28 inches, in Sayreville....crikey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 minutes ago, SACRUS said: SREF: 2.1 / 19.6 NAM: 2.8 / 27.6 NAM 3K: 2.2 / 21.6 ICON: 1.3 / 12.9 RGEM: 1.1 / 11 GFS: 1.7 / 17.1 GFS AI AIGFS: 1.3 / 12.7 UKMET: 1.7 . 15.2 GEFS Mean : 1.8 / 18.2 Euro: 1.3 / 11.1 Euro AI AIFS: 1.2 / 11.4 Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.68 inches Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 16.2 inches Still a pretty big spread less than 24 hours from game time! Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 16 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Euro getting better, it’ll have the right idea tomorrow at 18z It has more snow now than the AI version. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Ticked east with the precip totals again. EURO will likely trend west to come.close to matching.GEFS actually trended west. The gfs suite including AI have stayed in about a 20 mile band all day. Let's not get carried away. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said: Still a pretty big spread less than 24 hours from game time! Crazy. 12 to 24. The NAM and the RGEM, 2 short-range models, are the "outliers" at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 https://x.com/cryptogeek101/status/2025355930049597947?s=46 poll on central park accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Really not much more to say, we are in for a top 10 storm. Hard to believe the blizzard warning currently as it was close to 50 today 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Still a pretty big spread less than 24 hours from game time! Crazy. Nam will calm down tonight or show 4 feet. Either is on the table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 This was a 2010 Boxing Day type victory for the GFS 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 16 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: i'm glad. spread the word...and you can probably sell it for more than you paid for it...back in 94 it got so bad a guy had his shovel taken at gunpoint.... Now, that's NJ.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5 minutes ago, Jt17 said: GEFS actually trended west. The gfs suite including AI have stayed in about a 20 mile band all day. Let's not get carried away. . How am I getting carried away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 12 to 24. The NAM and the RGEM, 2 short-range models, are the "outliers" at the moment.Gfs is so deceiving. Look at the snow map. It's just if not MORE robust than previous runs. NYC is at 17 and 10 miles south is at 27. The northern and western extents of heavy snow are the same. That run really is just like before and in the NAM camp. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 In any event, will be interesting 0z runs. Have not seen Forky back down from 20 to 30 for LI yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Principal McVicker Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 7 minutes ago, nycsnow said: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: This was a 2010 Boxing Day type victory for the GFS Euro is really struggling this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 0z will be our biggest model suite in years! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wow more tucked!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Seeing the eps wetter than the op is a red flag. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: Wow more tucked!! A bit north too which is good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: Wow more tucked!! with this type of depiction one would expect P-type issues....pretty surprised that is absent from the current equation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, wxman said: with this type of depiction one would expect P-type issues....pretty surprised that is absent from the current equation! not ptype but dryslot issues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, wxman said: with this type of depiction one would expect P-type issues....pretty surprised that is absent from the current equation! The only place that sees Mixing is extreme southern New Jersey and not for long either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Seeing the eps wetter than the op is a red flag. how so? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Anyone have the EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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