Presidents' day Snow potential

[MJO812]

Steve D is going to be right. Models are going south and weaker.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Steve D is going to be right. Models are going south and weaker.

There was about a 12 hour period from 9pm last night to 9 am this morning where it looked like several models were pickup up on a partial phase and solid trend north. And then as often happens reality set in with the 12z's and it's been downhill since. 
 

 

 

[MJO812]

Nam and rrfs are worse

Looking like a inch to 2 inches for NYC.

I was looking back at some model runs of the Ukie , gfs and euro and they had a big storm at one point. I think the CMC never showed a big storm.

[wthrmn654]

Lock the thread, and models come north, unlock thread models go south

...

Hmm

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Lock the thread, and models come north, unlock thread models go south

...

Hmm

maybe lock it until the first flakes lol

[SACRUS]

[MJO812]

Icon has no snow

[MJO812]

Gfs

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, wthrmn654 said:

Lock the thread, and models come north, unlock thread models go south

...

Hmm

Well, I locked the thread, some asshole @Rjayunlocked it. I take no responsibility. 

[jm1220]

Brush your car off expectation, hopefully good. Plowable, will likely be disappointed. 

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Brush your car off expectation, hopefully good. Plowable, will likely be disappointed. 

Euro slightly south. Dusting to inch for NYC with slightly more in CNJ.

[mriceyman]

Euro slightly south. Dusting to inch for NYC with slightly more in CNJ.

Any maps? Im bored lol


.

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, mriceyman said:

Any maps? Im bored lol


.

Nothing to see

[MJO812]

Slightly better than 0z

[MJO812]

Better than 0z 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Better than 0z 

Yeah the moisture is def north as well. 

[TriPol]

For one winter, I want to live in Copenhagen, NY where they get around 300 inches of snow per year so I don't have to be up at 3:20 in the bloody morning chasing a g*ddamn inch of snow while half drunk. Never tell your significant other she would look better in the pink dress because the purple on makes her look like an eggplant. 

[snowman19]

2 hours ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Yeah the moisture is def north as well. 

Lol it’s an inch of snow (maybe) that’s going to be gone by tomorrow afternoon when it gets into the 40’s 

[BxEngine]

2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Lol it’s an inch of snow (maybe) that’s going to be gone by tomorrow afternoon when it gets into the 40’s 

And? Move on if you dont want to discuss it. Let the people who want to, do it. Fucking schoolyard bully bullshit. Christ.

[BxEngine]

4 hours ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Yeah the moisture is def north as well. 

As opposed to the birds being north, tricking the models? Take the rose colored glasses off and post objective analysis. No more radar hallucination.

[SnoSki14]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Slightly better than 0z

Would get me exactly to average snowfall 

[Brian5671]

4 hours ago, TriPol said:

For one winter, I want to live in Copenhagen, NY where they get around 300 inches of snow per year so I don't have to be up at 3:20 in the bloody morning chasing a g*ddamn inch of snow while half drunk. Never tell your significant other she would look better in the pink dress because the purple on makes her look like an eggplant. 

It would get old quick honestly....

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

It would get old quick honestly....

Big time. Shoveling daily. Worrying about your roof collapsing.  No parking anywhere. Just give me one big storm per year and I'm good. 

[NorthShoreWx]

13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Big time. Shoveling daily. Worrying about your roof collapsing.  No parking anywhere. Just give me one big storm per year and I'm good. 

Nah, it's fake snow.  Easy to move.

[wthrmn654]

4 hours ago, TriPol said:

For one winter, I want to live in Copenhagen, NY where they get around 300 inches of snow per year so I don't have to be up at 3:20 in the bloody morning chasing a g*ddamn inch of snow while half drunk. Never tell your significant other she would look better in the pink dress because the purple on makes her look like an eggplant. 

Go to Japan!  They may beat them but I'm not sure

[NorthShoreWx]

3 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Go to Japan!  They may beat them but I'm not sure

They might.  The sea effect there has been over the top.

https://science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-observatory/winter-grips-japan/

[NorthShoreWx]

20 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Go to Japan!  They may beat them but I'm not sure

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DEg9tVQPsEN/?igsh=MTdja3R1MG9xNWRiZQ==

[MJO812]

Nam slightly better than 6z 

[winterwarlock]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam slightly better than 6z 

Kuchera would be more accurate given its going to be less than 10-1

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Big time. Shoveling daily. Worrying about your roof collapsing.  No parking anywhere. Just give me one big storm per year and I'm good. 

For people like myself that like a long duration winter with a solid snow pack, but also realize that I do have a breaking point, Oneonta New York would be my sweet spot.

They average about 85 inches of snow per season. January and February average temperatures are about 20 to 22°. They get fringe squalls off the lake that drop an inch or two sometimes three at various times to freshen things up. They are close enough to Albany that they can still can cash in on some Noreasters and almost always cash in on any SWFE and clippers. 
 

Having been through several winters that fell within that range of 70 to 100", usually by the end of March in those winters I'm ready for spring.