bncho Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 The CMC is all we got. I've got a decent track record for threads so maybe I can carry that on to this storm. It's four days out now so might as well separate this from the LR thread*. We need a lot of luck to make this happen. Prayers will be needed but they will not be enough. May the odds be ever in our favor! *mods may delete this if they deem fit 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Let's gooooooooooo I'm not out.... yet 18z icon is a rain miss South 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I know you can bring this home Nachos, let's all eat like kings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 @stormtracker@WxUSAF can we get this pinned please. You can help bring this home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Temu Geo Wash said it’s gonna be rain. He has spoken. He knows. Rain it shall be. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!? Better than the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible! 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible! How many drinks have you had this evening?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: How many drinks have you had this evening?! A few 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: if only this winter was colder than average... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 18Z EPS: about 10% chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 18Z AI EPS: maybe 30%.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It's good when the storm has banana low pressure around it right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z). 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z). I haven't given up yet. The track keeps me intrigued, and the moving parts (maybe something will go right for once instead of wrong as with recent NC storm). And the simple fact that we have barely gotten any moisture since the snow/sleet beatdown storm. But like with the Euro image i posted above, I'm very worried about temps for my backyard even if the track trends toward "perfect." Silver Spring doesn't do marginal well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, Paleocene said: I haven't given up yet. The track keeps me intrigued, and the moving parts (maybe something will go right for once instead of wrong as with recent NC storm). And the simple fact that we have barely gotten any moisture since the snow/sleet beatdown storm. But like with the Euro image i posted above, I'm very worried about temps for my backyard even if the track trends toward "perfect." Silver Spring doesn't do marginal well. Well...if we can't get snow, rain wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. At least it'll clean off the cars 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Let's reel this one in. Hey, storms this time of year create their own cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 We can’t even get this thing pinned. What a disgrace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It would have to come back on the Euro for pinnage. Now we are tracking light rain withbthe chance if moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: It would have to come back on the Euro for pinnage. Now we are tracking light rain withbthe chance if moderate rain. That would be the second most exciting event of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 0Z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO I’ll take my 1” and love it. We’re back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 41 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z AI!!! a bit souther but much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, peribonca said: a bit souther but much colder. Well, the problem is Will is an ass and posted an hr270 24hr snow map so that’s not for this weekend… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 22 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Well, the problem is Will is an ass and posted an hr270 24hr snow map so that’s not for this weekend… I sure did. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 0Z AI EPS at Day 5. About 40% with a hit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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