bncho Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The CMC is all we got. I've got a decent track record for threads so maybe I can carry that on to this storm. It's four days out now so might as well separate this from the LR thread*. We need a lot of luck to make this happen. Prayers will be needed but they will not be enough. May the odds be ever in our favor! *mods may delete this if they deem fit 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Let's gooooooooooo I'm not out.... yet 18z icon is a rain miss South 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I know you can bring this home Nachos, let's all eat like kings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago @stormtracker@WxUSAF can we get this pinned please. You can help bring this home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Temu Geo Wash said it’s gonna be rain. He has spoken. He knows. Rain it shall be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!? Better than the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible! How many drinks have you had this evening?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: How many drinks have you had this evening?! A few 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: if only this winter was colder than average... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 18Z EPS: about 10% chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 18Z AI EPS: maybe 30%.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago It's good when the storm has banana low pressure around it right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 40 minutes ago Share Posted 40 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I guess everyone including myself gave up on the weekend, but at 18Z pretty significant jump North on the AI EURO that everyone loves. Also, a significant jump in snow prob. (Comparison to 12Z). I haven't given up yet. The track keeps me intrigued, and the moving parts (maybe something will go right for once instead of wrong as with recent NC storm). And the simple fact that we have barely gotten any moisture since the snow/sleet beatdown storm. But like with the Euro image i posted above, I'm very worried about temps for my backyard even if the track trends toward "perfect." Silver Spring doesn't do marginal well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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