Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?

[ineedsnow]

maybe 1 to 2 here now  meh

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Should be 1-3 here .. 4 if Reggie right 

 

[The 4 Seasons]

6 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR had 1” or so for that Jan 21 event in CT that we had 4” from . I remember the southern CT posters weren’t expecting more than a dusting 

Southern CT didnt get much of anything that system outside of the hills of interior New Haven and Nrn parts of the southern counties.

I got less than what i expected, it rained.

[WinterWolf]

34 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I get CT getting skunked, but the Berks too? I thought that NE-SW trajectory could be good for them

I think it’s NW-SE trajectory… 

[ORH_wxman]

Gonna be a nowcast for that convective stuff. It’s been jumping a bit on short term guidance in both position and magnitude.

This could end up being one of those systems that looks great on radar but not that good in ground truth. Well find out soon enough. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Gonna be a nowcast for that convective stuff. It’s been jumping a bit on short term guidance in both position and magnitude.

This could end up being one of those systems that looks great on radar but not that good in ground truth. Well find out soon enough. 

Ones where the radar mosaic looks great and then single site laughs at it.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ones where the radar mosaic looks great and then single site laughs at it.

We are used to those here in the upper Valley.  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Still hoping to hit 2” here in NW MA.  

[Damage In Tolland]

1-3 spot 4 . Let’s see what Reggie says 

[dryslot]

Still looks like a 3-5" event up here, Been nothing since 01/26.

[CoastalWx]

Reggie ticked lighter with QPF but still aggressive here. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Still looks like a 3-5" event up here, Been nothing since 01/26.

New Hampshire and Maine ski areas could definitely use it.

[dendrite]

Slow cave

[Damage In Tolland]

Reggie makes me feel good 1-3

[CoastalWx]

HRRR is a trace for Tolland. Either it will make a score or be terribly wrong.

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR is a trace for Tolland. Either it will make a score or be terribly wrong.

It’s wrong.

[dryslot]

32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

New Hampshire and Maine ski areas could definitely use it.

Natural snows been absent.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

It’s wrong.

I think so too. We’ll see.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I think so too. We’ll see.

When they retire the Nams they can take the HRRR with them, I think the only place it’s accurate for is Stowe VT

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR is a trace for Tolland. Either it will make a score or be terribly wrong.

You have a forecast? Hard and fast not iffy 

[CoastalWx]

Gfs still steady

[Damage In Tolland]

That radar in NY state looks pretty solid 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

You have a forecast? Hard and fast not iffy 

1-3. Better confidence 1-2.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

1-3. Better confidence 1-2.

I can get down wit dat 

[tavwtby]

if you were just looking at radar you'd think I had at least an inch by now but just a few flakes, meh my way to a dusting...

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

1-3. Better confidence 1-2.

Same. If I were to change anything with that map I'd make it 1-2 but I think 1-3 is fine

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

if you were just looking at radar you'd think I had at least an inch by now but just a few flakes, meh my way to a dusting...

Yeah tons of dry air to overcome which is concerning. 

[Kitz Craver]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

I think it’s NW-SE trajectory… 

Oops misprint, That’s what I meant.. my bad

[SJonesWX]

24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR is a trace for Tolland. Either it will make a score or be terribly wrong.

TIT: Trace In Tolland. has a nice ring to it

[Damage In Tolland]

Didn’t take long to saturate. Very Light snow falling

31.8/11