Is we back? February discussion thread

[ineedsnow]

ICON likes Sunday night into Monday

[ineedsnow]

ICON nuking 

[ineedsnow]

slow crawler.. maybe the GFS wasn't out to lunch

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Go look at NESIS and tell me how many of the top ten hit on a weekend here. Its not believing DTs rule it's just an oddity. Brian has that straight scientific mind unable to pick up on coincidence 

I’m not saying there can’t be a coincidence there. Xmas eve is climatologically warmer too. I’ve never analyzed the percentage of NESIS or KU storms on the weekend. I’m just telling you what Dave’s old theory was. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Go look at NESIS and tell me how many of the top ten hit on a weekend here. Its not believing DTs rule it's just an oddity. Brian has that straight scientific mind unable to pick up on coincidence 

Not discounting it...I think it makes a lot of sense as to why there likely is a correlation between certain weather events and day of week and even day of year. Weather systems generally (And I use this term a bit loosely) move through the flow at a specific speed as do ridge/trough propagation.  If you look back at our historic periods, most of the big storms during them all tended to fall on or around the same date...like remember 2015 or maybe it was 2013...it was every Wednesday. 

 

[ineedsnow]

top 10er on the ICON for SNE

[dendrite]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Not discounting it...I think it makes a lot of sense as to why there likely is a correlation between certain weather events and day of week and even day of year. Weather systems generally (And I use this term a bit loosely) move through the flow at a specific speed as do ridge/trough propagation.  If you look back at our historic periods, most of the big storms during them all tended to fall on or around the same date...like remember 2015 or maybe it was 2013...it was every Wednesday. 

 

Why would upper levels give a shit about the day of the week?

[Torch Tiger]

48 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I mean who cares how we get snows. 

uh the people interested in science

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

uh the people interested in science

That counts you out

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Why would upper levels give a shit about the day of the week?

they don't, it's just how the spacing of storms/track work sometimes. 

I agree...theoretically the day of the week doesn't matter at all

 

[weatherwiz]

Think about it too like during the summer, we've had some summers where we've seen to get cold fronts to always come through around the same day each week, especially when the pattern isn't deviating much. 

[SouthCoastMA]

I deleted my ad hoc math because it didn't make sense.  If records were kept over a longer time..it would probably smooth out to an even distribution. 

 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

they don't, it's just how the spacing of storms/track work sometimes. 

I agree...theoretically the day of the week doesn't matter at all

 

Of course it doesn't but it is an oddity 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Think about it too like during the summer, we've had some summers where we've seen to get cold fronts to always come through around the same day each week, especially when the pattern isn't deviating much. 

Pure coinkydink

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

That counts you out

It certainly eliminates you.

[Torch Tiger]

anti-science plus senility is bad combo

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

It certainly eliminates you.

Hmm. USA women's hockey!!

[Ginx snewx]

ICON is top of chain weekend blizzard 

[The 4 Seasons]

What i would pay for that Icon soln, god damn. 

Can we just get a classic nor'easter once this season? 

I mean idc how it snows, but a blizz would be nice. 

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pure coinkydink

changing the clocks ahead also increases afternoon warming...

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

anti-science plus senility is bad combo

You stupid 

[HoarfrostHubb]

The upper atmosphere favors the weekend because it works so hard during the week and wants to party

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

What i would pay for that Icon soln, god damn. 

Can we just get a classic nor'easter once this season? 

I mean idc how it snows, but a blizz would be nice. 

changing the clocks ahead also increases afternoon warming...

Nobody believed our Grinch climo until we showed the odd temp increase the 22nd to 24th. That's science 

The weekend stuff is an oddity but the fact the top5 NESIS storms were weekend storms is against all odds so there's that.  

[ineedsnow]

12z AIGFS like the end of the weekend

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z AIGFS like the end of the weekend

If you like rain. Even for your area. 
 

[dendrite]

There’s almost always statistical anomalies. The 61 ball in Powerball has been drawn 1.7x more than the 13 ball since 2015. 

[SouthCoastMA]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z AIGFS like the end of the weekend

When you don't seem 110% enthused and are instead modestIy enthused, I know it's a crap solution for 90% of the forum

[ineedsnow]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

If you like rain. Even for your area. 
 

meh its close here and doubt it would be that warm in SNE

[dendrite]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

meh its close here and doubt it would be that warm in SNE

To be fair I don’t think there’s ever been a system in DJFM where you felt it couldn’t snow. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, dendrite said:

To be fair I don’t think there’s ever been a system in DJFM where you felt it couldn’t snow. 

he needs it

[ORH_wxman]

Icon is a warm outlier for Monday but as long as we’re talking model solutions, it’s def rain for almost all of SNE at the height of the storm.