It's not coming 1/31-2/1 2026

[jm1220]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I will take it

Doubting it’ll even be that much without a significant NW shift. I don’t see anything to support anything getting west of Montauk maybe. Today was a kick in the crotch. 

[Stormlover74]

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

new GFS shunks DT with close to 0-NC then OTS

He's hugging the nbm now

[Freezing Drizzle]

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like we got some of it too

 

I would love to see the surface map for this one.  Seems the coast changed to rain?

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, Tatamy said:

My money is on Blutarsky.

[Franklin0529]

Anyone know what time that new weathergeek model runs?

[Stormlover74]

7 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

I would love to see the surface map for this one.  Seems the coast changed to rain?

I would think so but cant find any info. Most of the focus is on western NY

[SACRUS]

 

00z offers little help at the onset for any snow flakes

 

NAM

[SACRUS]

 

SREF as well

 

[donsutherland1]

24 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

I would love to see the surface map for this one.  Seems the coast changed to rain?

From the KU books:

The trough went negative and the storm wound up tracking inland relative to NYC.

[Wxbear25]

Its crazy how the convection is so pronounced and widespread it creates it own cold pool and shreds apart the ULL over the coast

Wild

[jm1220]

1 minute ago, SACRUS said:

 

00z offers little help at the onset for any snow flakes

 

NAM

Looks just lame altogether other than a 75 mile wide strip near the Tidewater and E NC. 0.3” liquid as snow for Raleigh is notable and I think a warning event down there but nothing historic. 

[Freezing Drizzle]

1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said:

From the KU books:

The trough went negative and the storm wound up tracking inland relative to NYC.

Thanks so much @donsutherland1  I was always envious that my cousins near W-B got more snow than in my hometown. lol

[WeatherGeek2025]

34 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Anyone know what time that new weathergeek model runs?

[UKWeatherGeek.]

ICON is 50 miles NW. That's enough for a change on the day to give 6-12" on coast. 20% chance.

[Prue11]

It would be nice to wake up early Sunday morning and check the radar and see bands of snow backing in off the ocean for suffolk 

[coastalplainsnowman]

3 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

It would be nice to wake up early Sunday morning and check the radar and see bands of snow backing in off the ocean for suffolk 

I'm always reminded of the Feb or March 1999 storm which was to my knowledge not on anyone's radar for NY snowfall but overnight backed in / filled in over Montauk resulting in a 14" storm w/blizzard conditions there,  6" to the forks, but cloudy at the Nassau/Suffolk border.

[Wxbear25]

9 minutes ago, UKWeatherGeek. said:

ICON is 50 miles NW. That's enough for a change on the day to give 6-12" on coast. 20% chance.

I almost just vomited trying to read this map

[WIN]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

I would think so but cant find any info. Most of the focus is on western NY

Its in the KU book. I have it. Im not going to copy & post it, cause it's probably copyright infringement.

[WeatherGeek2025]

14 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

I'm always reminded of the Feb or March 1999 storm which was to my knowledge not on anyone's radar for NY snowfall but overnight backed in / filled in over Montauk resulting in a 14" storm w/blizzard conditions there,  6" to the forks, but cloudy at the Nassau/Suffolk border.

how much was Montauk supposed to get that night?

[SACRUS]

 

RGEM

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

23 minutes ago, UKWeatherGeek. said:

ICON is 50 miles NW. That's enough for a change on the day to give 6-12" on coast. 20% chance.

the storm is the size of a texas state and half and we get nada

[WIN]

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

I would think so but cant find any info. Most of the focus is on western NY

Storm got to Hatteras & & turned due north.

[SACRUS]

 

ICON

[SnowGoose69]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

how much was Montauk supposed to get that night?

Nothing.  Warnings got put out at 3-4am and by 8-9am there was already a few inches

[WeatherGeek2025]

4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Nothing.  Warnings got put out at 3-4am and by 8-9am there was already a few inches

i wish to see that one of these days, this weekend would be great