SACRUS Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 00Z GFS AI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: 00z GEFS That's a healthy grouping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Nibor said: That's a healthy grouping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Nibor said: That's a healthy grouping If only the gfs wasn't an ass model 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Rjay said: If only the gfs wasn't an ass model Need another step west coming up from the euro. It did it at 18z. One more here be great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 34 minutes ago, David-LI said: 00z GFS I mean 12”+ for Long Island is not out to sea but sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Rjay said: If only the gfs wasn't an ass model This would kind of be an epic fail by the GEFS though. I do feel most cases of the GFS dropping the ball on big storms the GEFS has tended to not really support iy most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1/28 00z GEFS total mean QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, SACRUS said: UKMET way southeast Normal for Ukie. im riding the GFS here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: If only the gfs wasn't an ass model There are 2 types of ass models. The GFS is not the type I like. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Franklin0529 said: Need another step west coming up from the euro. It did it at 18z. One more here be great I'm not backing down yet. I still think it's coming. The Canadian is fixable. The gfs continues to improve even though it's a total trash model. The ukie looks lost. The Euro needs to show something by 12z tomorrow or the threat is in trouble. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is best for these southern stream coastals but we need some major shifts soon or this threat is done 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Normal for Ukie. im riding the GFS here As you should. What fun is it riding the ukie here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Rjay said: As you should. What fun is it riding the ukie here. Haha yup. its definitely coming. I’ll go out on a limb. Islip sees 6”+ from this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GGEM with the 2 low conundrum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: GGEM with the 2 low conundrum I want to say convective feedback but I don't know enough and it might just be a weenie coping term. So maybe someone more knowledgeable can chime in on that double barrel solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mo Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Good westward trends from GEFS last 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Nibor said: I want to say convective feedback but I don't know enough and it might just be a weenie coping term. It had no chance of making up here that run anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
203whiteout Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago This thing is going south. This has southern mid Atlantic and Boston/Cape special written all over it. Not one model is being “stubborn” showing us in the heavier snows. This is not our storm. Will the precip shield expand as we get closer? Sure, but we are not seeing more than 2-4” from this set up. It’s too cold. I can see the Carolina’s doing well even. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, 203whiteout said: This thing is going south. This has southern mid Atlantic and Boston/Cape special written all over it. Not one model is being “stubborn” showing us in the heavier snows. This is not our storm. Will the precip shield expand as we get closer? Sure, but we are not seeing more than 2-4” from this set up. It’s too cold. I can see the Carolina’s doing well even . glad you fully explained your reasoning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
203whiteout Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Mostly a hunch honestly. Anyone telling you otherwise is lying. Very strong high to the north. When the trough tilts neutral and goes negative off the east coast and bombs out it’s off the Carolina coast on both major models. We need it to crawl and hug the coast. I currently don’t see that with that strong high and the temps during this storm. Hope I’m wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago Euro is east by a hair. Want to see the EPS more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DreamBig Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago Seems west and deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 51 minutes ago Author Share Posted 51 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, Nibor said: Euro is east by a hair. Want to see the EPS more. Really would want to see this close off over North Carolina and not GA or even SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago 9 minutes ago, DreamBig said: Seems west and deeper. West of 12z, basically in line/slightly east of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 29 minutes ago Share Posted 29 minutes ago 1 hour ago, 203whiteout said: This thing is going south. This has southern mid Atlantic and Boston/Cape special written all over it. Not one model is being “stubborn” showing us in the heavier snows. This is not our storm. Will the precip shield expand as we get closer? Sure, but we are not seeing more than 2-4” from this set up. It’s too cold. I can see the Carolina’s doing well even . So your reason is it’s too cold? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago GEFS vs EPS FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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