Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Wonky Euro track , Bombs and stalls off Hatteras, goes ENE then curls back in .. 

it wants to come north.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

lol…that CMC low looked tropical forming in convection over the gulf stream. 

100kt at 925

6z euro has it too

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

You said that about the last storm and then look.

No I didn’t, I was in the could trend north camp. Hence the crap I gave Webb.

[dryslot]

06z EPS west of the 0z run.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies  but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game 

[CoastalWx]

Give it a few more cycles I guess. I don't feel as good as I did with the last storm. 

[dryslot]

SWFE or hybrid ones are about a sure bet.

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

You said that about the last storm and then look.

He’s still struggling….even after getting 20 inches. 

[dendrite]

It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region.

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

You said that about the last storm and then look.

He sure did 

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies  but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game 

Everyone’s in the game to be honest…if this shifts a 100 miles west, it’s game on for everybody. That’s an easy lift at 4 days out.  But as I said yesterday, the OTS idea is the bigger problem, not occlusion. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region.

That's 0z run 6 z it does relax more. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

He’s still struggling….even after getting 20 inches. 

 

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

He sure did 

See above you meatballs 

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Give it a few more cycles I guess. I don't feel as good as I did with the last storm. 

You didn’t like the last one either…until it kept trending every run north at this time last week. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Everyone’s in the game to be honest…if this shifts a 100 miles west, it’s game on for everybody. That’s an easy lift at 4 days out.  But as I said yesterday, the OTS idea is the bigger problem, not occlusion. 

Ya just less so, speaking of that - the EURO just 100 miles NW would be 15-30" region wide lol . and we still have 96 hours to go

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

 

See above you meatballs 

You sure did you meatball…you said this was gone Sunday…so stop. Youve been struggling big time. Everything is gone with you. Scooter doesn’t know! This isn’t gone. And you’re in the best spot at the moment. But a subtle change puts everybody in the game. So stop your nonsense. 

[mahk_webstah]

 

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

That's 0z run 6 z it does relax more. 

All of the runs of all of the models are essentially the same thing. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya just less so, speaking of that - the EURO just 100 miles NW would be 15-30" region wide lol . and we still have 96 hours to go

Absolutely my point.  I’ve been on the OTS train….but these Miller A’s do like to trend west. And as FXWX explained yesterday, there are a lot of reasons why this can shift west…so it wouldn’t take much. So we watch. 

[ORH_wxman]

Well if we only looked at GEFS and EPS, we’d predict a big hit for eastern areas. 

[dryslot]

I'm not sure at this lead i would be looking anywhere else.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Well if we only looked at GEFS and EPS, we’d predict a big hit for eastern areas. 

Yes agreed,  We watch.  Ensembles are the way to go at the moment. 

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

All of the runs of all of the models are essentially the same thing. 

Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train 

Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently. 

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

See above you meatballs 

There was absolutely a post early on where you said “ she gone” . I distinctly recall giving you a confused emoji on it. You came around a day or two later  It was when you were still tantruming 

[Ginx snewx]

19 minutes ago, dryslot said:

06z EPS west of the 0z run.

Pics or it didn't happen lol

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train 

Strikingly similar H5 projection

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently. 

We had about 8" here that storm, I'd take that all day

[kdxken]

 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Pics or it didn't happen lol

Here you go.