mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Wonky Euro track , Bombs and stalls off Hatteras, goes ENE then curls back in .. it wants to come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol…that CMC low looked tropical forming in convection over the gulf stream. 100kt at 925 6z euro has it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: You said that about the last storm and then look. No I didn’t, I was in the could trend north camp. Hence the crap I gave Webb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 06z EPS west of the 0z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Give it a few more cycles I guess. I don't feel as good as I did with the last storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 SWFE or hybrid ones are about a sure bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: You said that about the last storm and then look. He’s still struggling….even after getting 20 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: You said that about the last storm and then look. He sure did 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: EURO would argue for a really nice band well west over the River .. We can hope that verifies but East of the river is 100% still very much in the game Everyone’s in the game to be honest…if this shifts a 100 miles west, it’s game on for everybody. That’s an easy lift at 4 days out. But as I said yesterday, the OTS idea is the bigger problem, not occlusion. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, dendrite said: It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region. That's 0z run 6 z it does relax more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: He’s still struggling….even after getting 20 inches. 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He sure did See above you meatballs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Give it a few more cycles I guess. I don't feel as good as I did with the last storm. You didn’t like the last one either…until it kept trending every run north at this time last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Everyone’s in the game to be honest…if this shifts a 100 miles west, it’s game on for everybody. That’s an easy lift at 4 days out. But as I said yesterday, the OTS idea is the bigger problem, not occlusion. Ya just less so, speaking of that - the EURO just 100 miles NW would be 15-30" region wide lol . and we still have 96 hours to go 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, CoastalWx said: See above you meatballs You sure did you meatball…you said this was gone Sunday…so stop. Youve been struggling big time. Everything is gone with you. Scooter doesn’t know! This isn’t gone. And you’re in the best spot at the moment. But a subtle change puts everybody in the game. So stop your nonsense. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's 0z run 6 z it does relax more. All of the runs of all of the models are essentially the same thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya just less so, speaking of that - the EURO just 100 miles NW would be 15-30" region wide lol . and we still have 96 hours to go Absolutely my point. I’ve been on the OTS train….but these Miller A’s do like to trend west. And as FXWX explained yesterday, there are a lot of reasons why this can shift west…so it wouldn’t take much. So we watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Well if we only looked at GEFS and EPS, we’d predict a big hit for eastern areas. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 I'm not sure at this lead i would be looking anywhere else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Well if we only looked at GEFS and EPS, we’d predict a big hit for eastern areas. Yes agreed, We watch. Ensembles are the way to go at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: All of the runs of all of the models are essentially the same thing. Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: See above you meatballs There was absolutely a post early on where you said “ she gone” . I distinctly recall giving you a confused emoji on it. You came around a day or two later It was when you were still tantruming 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: 06z EPS west of the 0z run. Pics or it didn't happen lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train Strikingly similar H5 projection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, WinterWolf said: Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently. We had about 8" here that storm, I'd take that all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pics or it didn't happen lol Here you go. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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