The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[lilj4425]

GFS looks really good for the western Carolinas through 12hrs.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[scottk]

Tiny flakes mixed with sleet in Florence. 

[Regan]

1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

And that’s 10:1. Should be 15:1 etc. I like that. 

[andrew29649]

2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Can you get that in the Kuchera ?

[NorthHillsWx]

GFS pretty much holds serve 

[StephenBH]

0Z GFS

[neverSnowsLCSC]

0z GFS gives Summerville 7" 
That would match or exceed 2018!!

[MDsnowPRO]

4 minutes ago, neverSnowsLCSC said:

0z GFS gives Summerville 7" 
That would match or exceed 2018!!

The trend has been our friend in the low country. 5” in Charleston 

[btownheel]

Can you get that in the Kuchera ?

Just multiply everything you see by 1.5X on low end to 2X high.


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[Stormlover74]

Good luck all! My fams in waxhaw and Conway. Both should do well

[Kristospherein]

38 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Man, charlotte looks locked in. Congrats to you folks 

Been lurking for most of this thread. The fascinating thing is normally totals are boom or bust anywhere in NC and youre chasing model runs.

The totals have been very consistent showing snow in Charlotte for several days now--Pretty much every model was showing anywhere from 5+ inches.

I hope these CAMS are wrong and everyone cashes out. 3+ would be beautiful to see for everyone.

Good luck to all.

 

[USCG RS]

2 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said:

The trend has been our friend in the low country. 5” in Charleston 

I actually was in your neck of the woods last week to escape the non existant ice catastrophe up here. Never been before. Beautiful town. 

[btownheel]

Been lurking for most of this thread. The fascinating thing is normally totals are boom or bust anywhere in NC and youre chasing model runs.
The totals have been very consistent showing snow in Charlotte for several days now--Pretty much every model was showing anywhere from 5+ inches.
I hope these CAMS are wrong and everyone cashed out. 3+ would be beautiful to see for everyone.
Good luck to all.
 

Good news is best performing CAM (RGEM) basically shows precisely that.


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[Leesville Wx Hawk]

11 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

GFS pretty much holds serve 

Just saw that. 

[PackGrad05]

the 01 and 02Z HRRR runs continue the trend of snow not really beginning in Wake until 1 - 2 PM

[Louise]

14 minutes ago, StephenBH said:

0Z GFS

I’m getting dizzy with this back & forth

[Orange county]

NWS service still daying 3-5 Sat

3-5 more Sat night

SE Wake

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

Good news is best performing CAM (RGEM) basically shows precisely that.


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RGEM would be okay for me. We shall see. I don’t think RDU gets shut out here. Question: would you take 3” guaranteed or take your chances for 5-7 if you live in RDU? If you live in the Queen City would you take 4 right now or bet the house for 8 plus? Inquiring minds want to know…


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[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said:

the 01 and 02Z HRRR runs continue the trend of snow not really beginning in Wake until 1 - 2 PM

I think we know if this fails pretty early, if it isn’t snowing in the morning like by 9-10 we’ve probably lost 

[PackGrad05]

Just now, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

RGEM would be okay for me. We shall see. I don’t think RDU gets shut out here. Question: would you take 3” guaranteed or take your chances for 5-7 if you live in RDU? If you live in the Queen City would you take 4 right now or bet the house for 8 plus? Inquiring minds want to know…


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I'd take 3" guaranteed.  That is in the top 15% of snowfalls at RDU over the past 50 years.

[Regan]

I’d paint myself red and light myself on fire and run around the yard for 3in. 

[lilj4425]

Just now, Regan said:

I’d paint myself red and light myself on fire and run around the yard for 3in. 

I think I will just stick to a nice cold beer.

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

the 01 and 02Z HRRR runs continue the trend of snow not really beginning in Wake until 1 - 2 PM

Yep, looking at being able to go to Jersey Mikes now for a Philly Chicken substituting their green peppers for cooked in jalapeños and substituting American for provolone cheese with Rosemary Parm bread. Take it home and toast for 2 minutes and it’s awesome.

We should get it rolling later tomorrow.


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[WinstonSalemArlington]

Dry Slot Risk

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

I'd take 3" guaranteed.  That is in the top 15% of snowfalls at RDU over the past 50 years.

You do live south of the Wake County gradient though so I completely understand.


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[UnionCountyNCWX]

1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Dry Slot Risk

That may be the first time ive seen one of those lol

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Just now, UnionCountyNCWX said:

That may be the first time ive seen one of those lol

Me too!

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

I think we know if this fails pretty early, if it isn’t snowing in the morning like by 9-10 we’ve probably lost 

There’s still hope for something decent. Too much can happen and we have to get something out of it even if it is an inch or 2.


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[MDsnowPRO]

20 minutes ago, USCG RS said:

I actually was in your neck of the woods last week to escape the non existant ice catastrophe up here. Never been before. Beautiful town. 

It is a nice spot, it even more beautiful blanketed in snow!